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Fuzzy boundaries: Simulation and expertise in bushfire prediction
Timothy Neale1, Daniel May2,1
1Alfred Deakin Institute for Citizenship and Globalisation, Deakin University, Australia.
Climate change and population shifts intensify natural hazards like wildfires. This study explores how Australian bushfire management agencies institutionalize expertise in predicting fire behavior, revealing cultural dynamics and broader implications of managing landscape fires.
Area of Science:
- Environmental Science
- Sociology of Science
- Risk Management
Background:
- Increasing frequency and social impact of natural hazards, particularly wildfires (bushfires), driven by climatic and demographic changes.
- Growing demand for governmental agencies to provide greater foresight into the consequences, occurrence, and behavior of dynamic natural phenomena.
- Emergence of new anticipatory regimes, tools, practitioners, and expertise focused on predicting future fire events.
Purpose of the Study:
- To examine the emergence and institutionalization of expertise among Australian Fire Behaviour Analysts.
- To explore how the integration of this expertise within bushfire management agencies highlights cultural boundaries and tensions.
- To provide insight into the human and nonhuman infrastructures used for predicting and managing landscape fires.
Main Methods:
- Qualitative research approach.
- Interviews with Fire Behaviour Analysts across Australia.
- Analysis of the institutionalization of expertise within bushfire management agencies.
Main Results:
- Fire Behaviour Analyst expertise has emerged and become institutionalized within Australian bushfire management.
- The embedding of this expertise reveals cultural boundaries and tensions within agencies.
- Human and nonhuman infrastructures are crucial for predicting and managing landscape fires, with 'fuzzy boundaries' negotiated by practitioners.
Conclusions:
- Understanding the practice of expertise is essential for refining critiques of expertise as an individual capacity.
- The study highlights the social and political implications of infrastructures used in fire prediction and management.
- Empirical studies of expertise in practice are necessary for improving the management of natural hazards like bushfires.
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