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Published on: February 12, 2015
A simulation study to compare different estimation approaches for network meta-analysis and corresponding methods to
Corinna Kiefer1, Sibylle Sturtz1, Ralf Bender2,3
1Institute for Quality and Efficiency in Health Care (IQWiG), Im Mediapark 8, Cologne, D-50670, Germany.
Network meta-analysis (NMA) estimators from netmeta and Bayesian MTC consistency models perform acceptably with moderate inconsistency. Evaluating consistency remains challenging, emphasizing focus on similarity and homogeneity assumptions in NMA.
Area of Science:
- Health technology assessment
- Systematic reviews
- Evidence synthesis
Background:
- Network meta-analysis (NMA) is increasingly utilized in health technology assessments and systematic reviews.
- Ambiguity persists regarding the properties of NMA estimation approaches and methods for evaluating consistency assumptions.
Purpose of the Study:
- To investigate the properties of different NMA methods through a simulation study.
- To provide recommendations for the practical application of NMA.
Main Methods:
- Evaluated three models for complex networks: frequentist netmeta, Bayesian mixed treatment comparisons (MTC) consistency model, and MTC with stepwise inconsistency removal.
- Conducted a simulation study for networks up to 5 interventions.
- Assessed global methods for evaluating the consistency assumption.
Main Results:
- Effect estimators showed unreliable results with high inconsistency.
- The MTC consistency model and netmeta estimators performed acceptably with moderate or no inconsistency.
- Performance depended on the amount of heterogeneity; none of the evaluated consistency evaluation methods were suitable.
Conclusions:
- Recommend the netmeta or Bayesian MTC consistency model estimators for practical NMA.
- Emphasize the importance of focusing on similarity and homogeneity assumptions due to limitations in consistency evaluation methods.
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