Driving Safety of Cognitively-Impaired Drivers Based on Near Collisions in Naturalistic Driving

Controlled naturalistic driving for examining impacts of cognitive impairment on driving safety is rare.

Evaluating the safety among drivers with mild cognitive impairment based on near collision incidents using naturalistic driving, and investigating its correlation with cognitive measures.

Frequency of near collisions of 44 cognitively impaired [Age = 75.1(±6.7), MMSE = 25.5(±2.5)] and 19 control group drivers [Age = 72.5(±7.8), MMSE = 29.3(±0.8)] were obtained from two weeks of recorded driving. Survival time free of predicted collision based on a previously established near-collision to collision estimate ratio of 11 : 1, for 140 hours of driving exposure was calculated. Participants were also tested using Mini-Mental Status Examination (MMSE), Trail A, and Trail B. Spearman correlation and Cox survival analysis were conducted.

Near collision frequency per driving hour was correlated with MMSE (r = -0.258, p = 0.041). Survival analyses showed that cognitively impaired drivers might be prone to higher probability of having collision (p = 0.056) with a hazard ratio of 5.78 (p = 0.092). When all participants were combined, there was a significant difference (p < 0.017) in all the three cognitive measures between drivers with and without predicted collision, which were not significant within patient or control group alone (p > 0.186). Cox regression analysis showed MMSE as the only significant factor (p < 0.025) for survival time of predicted collision, but not age, gender, or driving experience.

The association between driving critical events and cognitive measures suggests that some drivers with mild cognitive impairment might have an elevated driving collision risk compared to control drivers. Standard clinical cognitive measures may be reasonable predictors.