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Learning about the Ellsberg Paradox reduces, but does not abolish, ambiguity aversion
Ruonan Jia1,2, Ellen Furlong3, Sean Gao2
1Interdepartmental Neuroscience Program, Yale University, New Haven, Connecticut, United States of America.
Plos One
|March 5, 2020
Summary
Understanding ambiguity aversion is key. Behavioral interventions can reduce this tendency, but achieving specific behavioral change remains a challenge.
Area of Science:
- Decision-making science
- Behavioral economics
Background:
- Ambiguity aversion, the avoidance of uncertain outcomes, is common but can lead to poor decisions.
- The Ellsberg Paradox exemplifies how ambiguity aversion causes suboptimal choices.
Purpose of the Study:
- To test a behavioral intervention designed to reduce ambiguity aversion.
- To assess if learning about the Ellsberg Paradox impacts decision-making under ambiguity and risk.
Main Methods:
- Participants chose between lotteries with known (risky) or unknown (ambiguous) probabilities.
- Interventions included learning about the Ellsberg Paradox (actively or passively) or a control topic.
- Post-intervention choices were compared to pre-intervention choices.
Main Results:
- Learning about the Ellsberg Paradox increased tolerance for ambiguity.
- Ambiguity aversion was reduced but not eliminated.
- Participants also showed reduced risk aversion, indicating potential overgeneralization of learning.
Conclusions:
- Behavioral interventions can mitigate ambiguity aversion.
- Care must be taken to ensure interventions lead to specific, not generalized, behavioral changes.
- The challenge lies in creating targeted behavioral shifts without unintended consequences.
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