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Impact of Changes in Serum Calcium Levels on In-Hospital Mortality
Charat Thongprayoon1, Wisit Cheungpasitporn2, Panupong Hansrivijit3
1Division of Nephrology and Hypertension, Department of Medicine, Mayo Clinic, Rochester, MN 55905, USA.
Insights
Significant changes in serum calcium levels during hospitalization are linked to a higher risk of in-hospital mortality. Greater fluctuations in calcium indicate a progressively increased risk of death for patients.
Area of Science:
- Clinical Medicine
- Biochemistry
- Medical Research
Background:
- Serum calcium concentration is tightly regulated, impacting physiological functions.
- Deviations from normal calcium levels can affect multiple organ systems.
- Understanding calcium level dynamics is crucial for patient outcomes.
Purpose of the Study:
- To investigate the association between serum calcium level variability during hospitalization and in-hospital mortality.
- To quantify the risk of mortality related to the magnitude of calcium changes.
Main Methods:
- Retrospective analysis of adult patients with at least two serum calcium measurements during hospitalization (2009-2013).
- Serum calcium changes were calculated as the absolute difference between maximum and minimum levels and categorized.
- Multivariable logistic regression was used to assess the association with in-hospital mortality, adjusting for various clinical factors.
Main Results:
- A total of 9868 patients were analyzed, with 5.4% experiencing in-hospital mortality.
- In-hospital mortality increased progressively with larger serum calcium changes, ranging from 3.4% to 14.5%.
- Adjusted analysis revealed significant associations between greater calcium changes (1.0-1.4, 1.5-1.9, and ≥2.0 mg/dL) and increased mortality risk (ORs 1.55-3.23).
Conclusions:
- Substantial fluctuations in serum calcium levels during hospitalization are independently associated with increased in-hospital mortality.
- The magnitude of serum calcium change is a significant predictor of mortality risk.
- Monitoring and managing calcium level variability may be important for improving outcomes in hospitalized patients.
Abstract:
Background and objectives: Calcium concentration is strictly regulated at both the cellular and systemic level, and changes in serum calcium levels can alter various physiological functions in various organs. This study aimed to assess the association between changes in calcium levels during hospitalization and mortality. Materials and Methods: We searched our patient database to identify all adult patients admitted to our hospital from January 1st, 2009 to December 31st, 2013. Patients with ≥2 serum calcium measurements during the hospitalization were included. The serum calcium changes during the hospitalization, defined as the absolute difference between the maximum and the minimum calcium levels, were categorized into five groups: 0-0.4, 0.5-0.9, 1.0-1.4, 1.5-1.9, and ≥2.0 mg/dL. Multivariable logistic regression was performed to assess the independent association between calcium changes and in-hospital mortality, using the change in calcium category of 0-0.4 mg/dL as the reference group. Results: Of 9868 patients included in analysis, 540 (5.4%) died during hospitalization. The in-hospital mortality progressively increased with higher calcium changes, from 3.4% in the group of 0-0.4 mg/dL to 14.5% in the group of ≥2.0 mg/dL (p < 0.001). When adjusted for age, sex, race, principal diagnosis, comorbidity, kidney function, acute kidney injury, number of measurements of serum calcium, and hospital length of stay, the serum calcium changes of 1.0-1.4, 1.5-1.9, and ≥2.0 mg/dL were significantly associated with increased in-hospital mortality with odds ratio (OR) of 1.55 (95% confidence interval (CI) 1.15-2.10), 1.90 (95% CI 1.32-2.74), and 3.23 (95% CI 2.39-4.38), respectively. The association remained statistically significant when further adjusted for either the lowest or highest serum calcium. Conclusion: Larger serum calcium changes in hospitalized patients were progressively associated with increased in-hospital mortality.
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