Comparison of the CAD consortium and updated Diamond-Forrester scores for predicting obstructive coronary artery

Un Woo Lee1, Shin Ahn1, Yo Sep Shin1

  • 1Department of Emergency Medicine, Asan Medical Center, University of Ulsan College of Medicine, Seoul, Republic of Korea.

Insights

The Coronary Artery Disease (CAD) Consortium models better predict obstructive CAD in emergency department patients than the Diamond-Forrester (DF) method. The Consortium models excel at identifying low-risk patients, while the DF model is better for high-risk cases.

Area of Science:

  • Cardiology
  • Medical Diagnostics
  • Public Health

Background:

  • Current guidelines recommend Diamond-Forrester (DF) and Coronary Artery Disease (CAD) Consortium models for obstructive CAD risk assessment.
  • Accurate pretest probability assessment is crucial for managing patients with chest pain in emergency departments.

Purpose of the Study:

  • To compare the performance of the DF method and CAD Consortium models in predicting obstructive CAD.
  • To evaluate model accuracy in a real-world emergency department setting for chest pain patients.

Main Methods:

  • A comparative study involving 1247 chest pain patients evaluated in an emergency department.
  • Coronary computed tomographic angiography (CTA) was used to assess for obstructive CAD.
  • Invasive angiography was used for confirmation when clinically indicated.

Main Results:

  • Obstructive CAD was diagnosed in 34.2% of patients.
  • The CAD Consortium clinical model showed the highest area under the receiver-operating curve (0.754), outperforming the basic Consortium model (0.736) and the DF model (0.718).
  • CAD Consortium models improved classification of low-risk patients, while the DF model better identified high-risk patients.

Conclusions:

  • The CAD Consortium clinical model demonstrates improved prediction for low-risk patients (<15% probability of obstructive CAD) compared to the DF model.
  • Caution is advised when applying the CAD Consortium clinical model to high-risk populations.
  • Both CAD Consortium models showed significant net reclassification improvement over the DF model.
Abstract

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