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Published on: August 9, 2024
Comparison of the CAD consortium and updated Diamond-Forrester scores for predicting obstructive coronary artery
Un Woo Lee1, Shin Ahn1, Yo Sep Shin1
1Department of Emergency Medicine, Asan Medical Center, University of Ulsan College of Medicine, Seoul, Republic of Korea.
Insights
The Coronary Artery Disease (CAD) Consortium models better predict obstructive CAD in emergency department patients than the Diamond-Forrester (DF) method. The Consortium models excel at identifying low-risk patients, while the DF model is better for high-risk cases.
Area of Science:
- Cardiology
- Medical Diagnostics
- Public Health
Background:
- Current guidelines recommend Diamond-Forrester (DF) and Coronary Artery Disease (CAD) Consortium models for obstructive CAD risk assessment.
- Accurate pretest probability assessment is crucial for managing patients with chest pain in emergency departments.
Purpose of the Study:
- To compare the performance of the DF method and CAD Consortium models in predicting obstructive CAD.
- To evaluate model accuracy in a real-world emergency department setting for chest pain patients.
Main Methods:
- A comparative study involving 1247 chest pain patients evaluated in an emergency department.
- Coronary computed tomographic angiography (CTA) was used to assess for obstructive CAD.
- Invasive angiography was used for confirmation when clinically indicated.
Main Results:
- Obstructive CAD was diagnosed in 34.2% of patients.
- The CAD Consortium clinical model showed the highest area under the receiver-operating curve (0.754), outperforming the basic Consortium model (0.736) and the DF model (0.718).
- CAD Consortium models improved classification of low-risk patients, while the DF model better identified high-risk patients.
Conclusions:
- The CAD Consortium clinical model demonstrates improved prediction for low-risk patients (<15% probability of obstructive CAD) compared to the DF model.
- Caution is advised when applying the CAD Consortium clinical model to high-risk populations.
- Both CAD Consortium models showed significant net reclassification improvement over the DF model.
Objective:
Current guidelines recommend the use of the updated Diamond-Forrester (DF) method and Coronary Artery Disease (CAD) Consortium models to assess the pretest probability of obstructive CAD. The present study aimed to compare the performance of these models among patients with chest pain evaluated in an emergency department (ED).
Methods:
We compared three scores (DF, CAD consortium basic, and clinical) among 1247 consecutive patients with chest pain who underwent coronary computed tomographic angiography (CTA). Invasive angiography was performed to confirm the stenosis for those who showed obstructive CAD on CTA, if clinically indicated. Primary outcome was the presence of obstructive CAD (≧50% stenosis).
Results:
Overall, 426 (34.2%) patients were diagnosed with obstructive CAD. The expected prevalence of CAD was underestimated by the CAD consortium clinical model (23.4%) and overestimated by the DF model (53.1%). For the prediction of obstructive CAD, the CAD consortium clinical model had superior area under the receiver-operating curve (0.754), followed by the CAD consortium basic (0.736), and finally, the DF model (0.718). Whereas the CAD consortium models more accurately classified patients without any CAD or nonobstructive CAD as low-risk patients, the DF model more accurately classified high-risk patients with obstructive CAD. The net reclassification improvement of CAD consortium basic and clinical models were 24.7% and 27.9%, respectively.
Conclusions:
Compared with the DF model, the CAD consortium clinical model appears to improve the prediction of low-risk patients with <15% probability of having obstructive CAD. However, this model needs caution when using in high-risk population.
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