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Strategic Planning of Rural Development Based on Foresight Methodologies.
Rasul Gusmanov1, Almir Askarov1, Milyausha Lukyanova1
1Department of Economics and Management, Federal State Budgetary Educational Establishment of Higher Education "Bashkir State Agrarian University", Ufa 450076, Russia.
This study establishes the scientific rationale for using foresight methodology in rural development strategic planning. It presents a novel algorithm and practical recommendations for foresight tool application at the municipal level, enhancing sustainable rural growth.
Area of Science:
- Rural Development Studies
- Strategic Planning
- Futures Studies
Background:
- Foresight methodology offers a flexible and multifaceted approach applicable to various management levels.
- Existing foresight projects and programs in rural management and development forecasting were analyzed.
- A systematic approach combined with foresight technologies is crucial for developing strategic rural development plans.
Purpose of the Study:
- To establish the scientific rationale for employing foresight methodology in rural development strategic planning.
- To develop a novel algorithm for strategic planning in rural development utilizing the foresight methodology.
- To formulate practical recommendations for implementing foresight tools at the municipal level of rural management.
Main Methods:
- Analysis of foresight projects and programs in rural development.
- Application of a systematic approach integrated with foresight technologies.
- Development and testing of a foresight algorithm for strategic planning, exemplified in the Republic of Bashkortostan.
Main Results:
- A comprehensive foresight algorithm for rural development strategic planning was designed and its municipal-level implementation mechanism outlined.
- Key components for testing foresight procedures in rural economic development were identified using the Republic of Bashkortostan as a case study.
- Alternative scenarios for regional rural development were generated through foresight analysis.
Conclusions:
- Foresight technologies are essential system tools for formulating and implementing sustainable rural development strategies.
- The study provides a robust framework for enhancing strategic planning in rural areas through foresight.
- The developed algorithm and recommendations support evidence-based decision-making for improved rural economic and social components.
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