Regional nodal metastasis and 5-year survival in patients with thin melanoma in Queensland: a population-based study

Optimal management of regional lymph nodes for thin cutaneous melanoma is uncertain. We evaluated regional lymph node involvement and 5-year melanoma-specific survival (MSS) in patients with thin (≤1 mm) primary melanoma.

Patients with a melanoma, American Joint Committee on Cancer Staging 8th Edition pT1a (<0.8 mm) or pT1b (ulceration; and/or 0.8-1.0 mm), diagnosed during 2001-2015 were identified from the Queensland Oncology Repository. We extracted demographic, pathology and clinical details, including sentinel lymph node biopsy (SLNB), regional nodal dissection and nodal recurrence. Poisson regression was used to assess recurrence risk in patients who did not undergo SLNB. The 5-year MSS was calculated using the Kaplan-Maier method with Cox regression to compare survival outcomes according to SLNB performance.

Of the 27 824 eligible patients, 240 (0.9%) underwent SLNB. One hundred and seventy-eight patients (0.6%) without SLNB had nodal recurrence. Of the 4848 patients with a pT1b lesion, 166 (3.4%) had SLNB with 12 (7.2%) positive; of the remainder, 99 (2.1%) had clinical recurrence. Risk of recurrence was higher in males, nodular subtype and T1b lesions and lower if patients were aged >60 years. The 5-year MSS was similar for observed and SLNB cohorts (99.66% versus 98.92%) but worse for T1b lesions (98.90%) and clinical nodal recurrence (66.89%).

Overall prognosis for T1 melanoma is excellent with nodal involvement being rare. However, the American Joint Committee on Cancer 8th Edition T1b melanoma correlates with significantly worse 5-year MSS and increased regional nodal recurrence (notably for 0.8-1.0 mm lesions with ulceration). Further characterization of high-risk groups for nodal positivity that impacts patient outcome is needed for the pT1 melanoma cohort.