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Emerging research fronts in science and technology: patterns of new knowledge development
S Phineas Upham1, Henry Small2
11Wharton School, University of Pennsylvania, Philadelphia, USA.
Scientometrics
|March 28, 2020
Summary
This study introduces a method to identify emerging research fronts, highlighting distinct characteristics for scientific impact versus growth. This aids in spotting high-impact technologies early.
Area of Science:
- Scientific research and technological innovation dynamics.
Background:
- Research fronts are key indicators of scientific and technological dynamism and interest.
- Identifying these fronts is crucial for strategic decision-making in various sectors.
Purpose of the Study:
- To develop and apply a methodology for identifying and analyzing emerging research fronts.
- To understand the characteristics of fronts that maximize scientific impact versus those that maximize growth.
Main Methods:
- Utilized a quantitative and qualitative methodology to construct and analyze research fronts.
- Focused on identifying fronts as they form to capture emerging trends.
Main Results:
- Successfully developed a methodology to identify nascent research fronts.
- Discovered that fronts maximizing scientific impact differ significantly from those maximizing growth.
Conclusions:
- The methodology provides a tool for firms, investors, researchers, and governments to identify emerging high-impact technologies.
- Understanding the distinct characteristics of impact- and growth-focused fronts has implications for the long-term development of science and technology.
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