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2019 vs. 2016 ESC/EAS statin guidelines for primary prevention of atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease
Martin Bødtker Mortensen1,2,3, Børge Grønne Nordestgaard2,3
1Department of Cardiology, Aarhus University Hospital, Palle Juul-Jensens Boulevard 99, 8200 Aarhus N, Denmark.
Insights
The 2019 European Society of Cardiology/European Atherosclerosis Society (ESC/EAS) guidelines significantly increase statin eligibility for primary prevention of atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease (ASCVD). This expansion offers greater potential for ASCVD event prevention in the general population.
Area of Science:
- Cardiology
- Preventive Medicine
- Public Health
Background:
- Dyslipidemia guidelines impact cardiovascular disease (CVD) prevention strategies.
- Previous European Society of Cardiology/European Atherosclerosis Society (ESC/EAS) guidelines (2016) provided a framework for statin use in primary prevention.
- The 2019 ESC/EAS guidelines introduced updated recommendations, necessitating an evaluation of their impact on statin eligibility and CVD prevention.
Purpose of the Study:
- To compare statin eligibility for primary prevention of atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease (ASCVD) between the 2019 and 2016 ESC/EAS dyslipidemia guidelines.
- To assess the potential impact of these guideline changes on ASCVD event prevention in the general population.
Main Methods:
- Analysis of 45,750 individuals from the Copenhagen General Population Study, free of ASCVD and statin use.
- Follow-up for 9.2 years to record ASCVD events (myocardial infarction, stroke, cardiovascular death).
- Comparison of statin eligibility and estimated prevention impact based on 2019 vs. 2016 ESC/EAS guidelines.
Main Results:
- The 2019 guidelines identified 32.3% of individuals as statin-eligible versus 15.4% under the 2016 guidelines.
- Increased eligibility in 2019 was attributed to lower low-density lipoprotein cholesterol (LDL-C) thresholds and an older age range.
- Estimated 10-year high-intensity statin use could prevent 25% of ASCVD events with 2019 guidelines versus 11% with 2016 guidelines.
- The number needed to treat (NNT) to prevent one ASCVD event was similar (19 for 2019 vs. 20 for 2016).
Conclusions:
- The 2019 ESC/EAS guidelines substantially increase statin eligibility for primary ASCVD prevention.
- These updated guidelines offer enhanced potential for preventing ASCVD events in the general population.
- The NNT to prevent a single ASCVD event remains comparable, indicating efficient risk management with the newer recommendations.
Aims:
The 2019 vs. 2016 European Society of Cardiology/European Atherosclerosis Society (ESC/EAS) dyslipidaemia guidelines contains new recommendations for primary prevention with statins; however, the potential impact of these changes is unclear. We compared the 2019 and 2016 guidelines regarding statin eligibility and potential impact on prevention of atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease (ASCVD) in the general population.
Methods And Results:
We examined 45 750 individuals aged 40-75 from the Copenhagen General Population Study, all free of ASCVD and statin use at baseline. During the 9.2-year follow-up, 3337 experienced ASCVD (myocardial infarction, stroke, and cardiovascular death). For Class I/A recommendations, 32.3% (95% confidence interval: 31.8-32.7) and 15.4% (15.1-15.7) of individuals were statin eligible according to the 2019 and 2016 guidelines. The increased statin eligibility by the 2019 guidelines was explained by lower low-density lipoprotein cholesterol (LDL-C) thresholds alone (explaining 33.2%), older age range alone (49.4%), older age range in combination with lower LDL-C thresholds (14.7%), and updated SCORE risk algorithm (2.8%). If fully implemented, the estimated percentage of ASCVD events that can be prevented by using high-intensity statins for 10 years were 25% and 11% with the 2019 and 2016 guidelines. Mainly because of older age range in the 2019 guidelines, the corresponding estimated numbers needed to treat (NNT) to prevent one ASCVD event were 19 and 20.
Conclusion:
Due to lower LDL-C threshold and older age range, the 2019 vs. 2016 ESC/EAS guidelines doubles the number of individuals eligible for primary prevention with statins. This considerably improves the potential for ASCVD prevention in the general population, with similar NNT to prevent one event.
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