Statistical analysis of the migration component of genetic drift

Statistical methods are introduced for analysis of the migration component of genetic drift, i.e., of the stochastic changes that affect allele frequencies during migration between local groups. Attention focuses on alpha M, a parameter that measures the extent to which this component of drift departs from the ideal of independent random sampling, and which can be interpreted as a measure of the extent to which migration is kin-structured. It is shown that alpha M can be estimated from genetic data, even in the absence of information about the genealogical relationships of migrants, and Monte-Carlo simulations are used to approximate the sampling distribution of the estimator under the null hypothesis of independent random sampling. Application of these methods to data from the Aland Islands, Finland, shows that the migration pattern there is consistent with the hypothesis of independent random sampling.