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Advanced Chronic Kidney Disease in Lupus Nephritis: Is Dialysis Inevitable?
Konstantinos Tselios1,2, Dafna D Gladman1,2, Jiandong Su1,2
1From the Centre for Prognosis Studies in Rheumatic Diseases, Toronto Lupus Clinic, University Health Network, Toronto, Ontario, Canada.
Insights
Progression to dialysis is not inevitable for advanced lupus nephritis (LN) chronic kidney disease (CKD). Active disease markers and increased prednisone predict decline, while renin-angiotensin system blockers may offer protection.
Area of Science:
- Nephrology
- Immunology
- Internal Medicine
Background:
- Advanced chronic kidney disease (CKD) significantly increases the risk of end-stage renal disease (ESRD).
- Lupus nephritis (LN) is a common cause of CKD, necessitating understanding of its progression factors.
Purpose of the Study:
- To determine the rate of renal function decline in patients with advanced CKD due to LN.
- To identify key factors influencing the progression of CKD in lupus nephritis patients.
Main Methods:
- A longitudinal cohort study identified 118 patients with advanced CKD (stage 3b or 4) related to LN.
- Patients were monitored for progression to ESRD, with demographic, clinical, immunological, and therapeutic data analyzed.
- Multivariable Cox regression models identified predictors of renal function decline.
Main Results:
- Forty-five patients (38%) progressed over an average of 6 years; 29 reached ESRD.
- Active serology (high anti-dsDNA, low C3/C4) and increased prednisone dosage were linked to progression.
- Renin-angiotensin system (RAS) blocker use was associated with a reduced risk of progression.
Conclusions:
- Dialysis is not an inevitable outcome for all patients with advanced LN-related CKD, as 62% did not progress over 10 years.
- Predictors for progression to ESRD were identified, including active immunological markers and corticosteroid management.
- Understanding these factors can guide therapeutic strategies to preserve renal function in LN patients.
Objective:
Advanced chronic kidney disease (CKD) carries an increased risk for progression to endstage renal disease (ESRD). We aimed to determine the rate of progression and the factors that drive the decline of renal function in lupus nephritis (LN).
Methods:
Patients with advanced LN-related CKD were identified from our longterm longitudinal cohort. Advanced CKD was defined as stage 3b [estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) = 30-44 ml/min/1.73 m2] and stage 4 (eGFR = 15-29 ml/min/1.73 m2). All individuals were followed until progression to ESRD or the last visit and were divided into "progressors" and "non- progressors." Demographic, clinical, immunological, and therapeutic variables were compared at baseline. Multivariable Cox regression analysis (both time-dependent and independent) was performed to identify predictors for progression.
Results:
One hundred eighteen patients (74 CKD 3b and 44 CKD 4) were included. Forty-five patients progressed (29 to ESRD and 16 from CKD 3b to CKD 4) after 6 years on average. No significant decline in the renal function was observed in 73 patients ("non-progressors") after 10 years on average. Active serology (high anti-dsDNA titers and low complements C3/C4) at the time of CKD diagnosis and any increase of the daily prednisone dose after baseline were strongly associated with progression. Treatment with renin angiotensin system (RAS) blockers was associated with less risk for progression.
Conclusion:
Dialysis is not inevitable in LN-related advanced CKD because 62% of our patients did not progress over 10 years of followup on average. Certain predictors were identified to affect progression to ESRD.
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