Prognostic Value of Coronary Computed Tomography Angiography-derived Morphologic and Quantitative Plaque Markers
Stefan Baumann1,2, Finja Kaeder1,2, U Joseph Schoepf3
1First Department of Medicine-Cardiology, University Medical Centre Mannheim.
Insights
Coronary computed tomography angiography plaque markers and risk scores effectively predict major adverse cardiovascular events (MACE). These tools aid in identifying patients at high risk for future cardiac events, improving patient management.
Area of Science:
- Cardiovascular Imaging
- Interventional Cardiology
- Radiology
Background:
- Accurate risk stratification for major adverse cardiovascular events (MACE) is crucial in managing patients with suspected coronary artery disease (CAD).
- Coronary computed tomography angiography (CCTA) offers detailed visualization of coronary anatomy and plaque characteristics.
- Identifying reliable prognostic markers from CCTA is essential for optimizing patient care and preventing adverse cardiac events.
Purpose of the Study:
- To evaluate the prognostic value of CCTA-derived morphologic and quantitative plaque markers and risk scores for predicting MACE.
- To assess the predictive performance of various plaque characteristics and established risk scores in patients with suspected CAD.
Main Methods:
- Analysis of data from 131 patients with suspected CAD undergoing CCTA.
- Semiautomated software was used to derive plaque markers, including total plaque volume and percentage aggregated plaque volume.
- Calculation of several risk scores (e.g., CAD-Reporting and Data System, SYNTAX score, Leiden-risk score) and collection of follow-up data for MACE.
Main Results:
- Eleven MACE occurred during a mean follow-up of 34 months.
- Significant predictors for MACE included CAD-Reporting and Data System score (OR=11.62), SYNTAX score (SS) (OR=1.11), Leiden-risk score (OR=1.37), segment involvement score (OR=1.76), total plaque volume (OR=1.20), and percentage aggregated plaque volume (OR=1.32) (all P≤0.05).
- The difference of corrected coronary opacification (ΔCCO) also significantly correlated with MACE (P<0.0001), demonstrating high sensitivity and specificity for risk prediction.
Conclusions:
- CCTA-derived plaque markers (segment involvement score, total plaque volume, percentage aggregated plaque volume, ΔCCO) and risk scores possess significant prognostic value for MACE.
- These quantitative and morphologic markers can effectively aid in identifying patients at elevated risk for future cardiac events.
- Integration of these CCTA-derived insights can enhance clinical decision-making for patients with suspected CAD.
Purpose:
In this study, we analyzed the prognostic value of coronary computed tomography angiography-derived morphologic and quantitative plaque markers and plaque scores for major adverse cardiovascular events (MACEs).
Materials And Methods:
We analyzed the data of patients with suspected coronary artery disease (CAD). Various plaque markers were obtained using a semiautomated software prototype or derived from the results of the software analysis. Several risk scores were calculated, and follow-up data concerning MACE were collected from all patients.
Results:
A total of 131 patients (65±12 y, 73% male) were included in our study. MACE occurred in 11 patients within the follow-up period of 34±25 months.CAD-Reporting and Data System score (odds ratio [OR]=11.62), SYNTAX score (SS) (OR=1.11), Leiden-risk score (OR=1.37), segment involvement score (OR=1.76), total plaque volume (OR=1.20), and percentage aggregated plaque volume (OR=1.32) were significant predictors for MACE (all P≤0.05). Moreover, the difference of the corrected coronary opacification (ΔCCO) correlated significantly with the occurrence of MACE (P<0.0001). The CAD-Reporting and Data System score, SS, and Leiden-risk score showed substantial sensitivity for predicting MACE (90.9%). The SS and Leiden-risk score displayed high specificities of 80.8% and 77.5%, respectively. These plaque markers and risk scores all provided high negative predictive value (>90%).
Conclusion:
The coronary computed tomography angiography-derived plaque markers of segment involvement score, total plaque volume, percentage aggregated plaque volume, and ΔCCO, and the risk scores exhibited predictive value for the occurrence of MACE and can likely aid in identifying patients at risk for future cardiac events.
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