An inflammation index-based prediction of treatment response to neoadjuvant chemoradiotherapy for rectal mucinous...

This study aimed to evaluate the predictive value of hematological inflammation-based indexes in the treatment response to neoadjuvant chemoradiotherapy (NCRT) in rectal mucinous adenocarcinomas (MACs).

Patients with rectal MACs undergoing NCRT and curative resection were included. Inflammation-based indexes such as systemic immune-inflammation index (SII), neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio (NLR), platelet-to-lymphocyte ratio (PLR), and prognostic nutritional index (PNI) were calculated. Receiver operator characteristics analysis was used to determine the optimal cutoff points. Multivariable logistic analysis identified predictors of good response to NCRT. A nomogram was developed and validated internally.

A total of 100 patients met the inclusion criteria, with 32 patients developing good response (tumor regression grade, TRG 0 + 1) to NCRT. Lower pre-treatment SII, NLR, and PLR levels were associated with a higher probability of good response to NCRT (P = 0.025, P < 0.001, P = 0.003, respectively), and a higher pre-treatment PNI level was associated with a higher probability of good response to NCRT (P = 0.005). Logistic regression analysis demonstrated that tumor size (< 3 cm, OR = 5.489, P = 0.025), pre-treatment NLR level (< 3.05, OR = 4.025, P = 0.028), pre-treatment PLR level (< 145.98, OR = 4.337, P = 0.038), and pre-treatment PNI level (≥ 41.32, OR = 3.477, P = 0.039) were independent predictors of good response to NCRT. A nomogram was developed with a C-index of 0.827.

Hematological inflammation-based indexes, in terms of pre-treatment NLR, PLR, and PNI levels, can help in predicting the treatment response to NCRT for rectal MACs.