Prognostic value of laboratory values in older patients with cervical spine fractures

To understand the prognostic value of laboratory markers at presentation on post-treatment survival of patients 50 and older following cervical spine fracture.

We obtained clinical data on patients 50 and older treated for cervical spine fracture in a single healthcare system (2006-2016). Our primary outcome consisted of 1-year mortality, with mortality within 3-months of presentation considered secondarily. Our primary predictors included serum glucose, serum creatinine, platelet-lymphocyte ratio (PLR) and neutrophil-lymphocyte ratio (NLR) at presentation. We used multivariable logistic regression to adjust for confounding from sociodemographic and clinical characteristics. Point estimates and 95 % confidence intervals (CI) from the final model were refined using Bayesian regression techniques.

We included 1781 patients in this analysis, with an average age of 75.3 (SD 12.0). The mortality rate at 3-months was 12 % and 17 % at 1-year. In multivariable testing, neither elevated PLR or NLR were significant predictors of 1-year mortality. Elevated serum creatinine was associated with increased mortality at 1-year (OR 1.89; 95 % CI 1.30, 2.74), as was hyperglycemia (OR 1.50; 95 % CI 1.06, 2.13). Elevated serum creatinine remained influential (OR 1.64; 95 % CI 1.06, 2.54) on mortality at 3-months.

This is the first study to evaluate laboratory values at presentation in conjunction with survival following cervical fractures. The results can be used to help forecast natural history and in expectation management. They may also help formulate treatment plans, especially when the need for surgical intervention is not clearly defined.