Risk factors for severity and mortality in adult COVID-19 inpatients in Wuhan

Xiaochen Li1, Shuyun Xu1, Muqing Yu1

  • 1Department of Pulmonary and Critical Care Medicine, Tongji Hospital, Tongji Medical College, Huazhong University of Science and Technology, Wuhan, China; Key Laboratory of Respiratory Diseases, National Ministry of Health of the People's Republic of China and National Clinical Research Center for Respiratory Disease, Wuhan, China.

Insights

Severe COVID-19 patients, particularly older males with comorbidities like hypertension and heart injury, face higher mortality risks. Early intervention is crucial for those with risk factors such as high lactate dehydrogenase levels.

Area of Science:

  • Infectious Diseases
  • Critical Care Medicine
  • Epidemiology

Background:

  • The initial COVID-19 outbreak in Wuhan highlighted limited data on severe cases.
  • Understanding clinical characteristics and outcomes of severe COVID-19 is critical.

Purpose of the Study:

  • To evaluate severity on admission, complications, treatment, and outcomes in COVID-19 patients.
  • To identify risk factors associated with severe COVID-19 and mortality.

Main Methods:

  • Retrospective analysis of 548 COVID-19 patients admitted to Tongji Hospital.
  • Multivariable logistic regression and Cox proportional hazard models were used for risk and survival analyses.

Main Results:

  • 49.1% of patients were classified as severe on admission.
  • Older age, hypertension, elevated cytokines (IL-2R, IL-6, IL-10, TNF-α), and high lactate dehydrogenase predicted severity.
  • Mortality was 32.5% in severe cases versus 1.1% in non-severe cases.
  • Male sex, older age, leukocytosis, high lactate dehydrogenase, cardiac injury, hyperglycemia, and high-dose corticosteroid use predicted death in severe patients.

Conclusions:

  • Older age, hypertension, and high lactate dehydrogenase levels necessitate close monitoring and early intervention for severe COVID-19.
  • Severe male patients with cardiac injury, hyperglycemia, and high-dose corticosteroid use are at high risk of mortality.
Abstract

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