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Effect of time delay on pattern dynamics in a spatial epidemic model.

Yi Wang1, Jinde Cao1,2, Gui-Quan Sun3,4

  • 1Department of Mathematics, Southeast University, Nanjing 210096, People's Republic of China.

Physica A
|April 21, 2020
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Summary
This summary is machine-generated.

Time delay significantly impacts spatial patterns in epidemic models. This study reveals how delays influence pattern formation, providing key insights for understanding disease spread dynamics.

Keywords:
Epidemic modelNonlinear incidence ratePatternsTime delayTuring instability

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Area of Science:

  • Epidemiology
  • Mathematical Biology
  • Dynamical Systems

Background:

  • Time delays are common in biological systems, including epidemiological models, representing incubation or infective periods.
  • The specific influence of time delays on the spatial dynamics of epidemic models remains underexplored.

Purpose of the Study:

  • To investigate the effect of time delay on spatial pattern formation in an epidemic model with a nonlinear incidence rate.
  • To determine the conditions for Hopf and Turing bifurcations and identify the Turing space.

Main Methods:

  • Mathematical analysis to derive conditions for bifurcations.
  • Investigation of spatial pattern formation under the influence of time delay.
  • Numerical simulations to validate analytical findings and explore pattern dynamics.

Main Results:

  • Established conditions for Hopf and Turing bifurcations.
  • Precisely identified the Turing space within the model's parameter space.
  • Demonstrated through numerical simulations that time delay significantly affects spatial pattern formation.

Conclusions:

  • Time delay is a critical factor influencing spatial pattern development in epidemic models.
  • The findings enrich the understanding of pattern formation and capture essential features of epidemic dynamics.
  • This research provides a foundation for further studies on delayed spatial epidemic models.