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The Hellinger Distance within Posterior Predictive Assessment for Investigating Multidimensionality in IRT Models
Mariagiulia Matteucci1, Stefania Mignani1
1Department of Statistical Sciences, University of Bologna.
Abstract:
Under the Bayesian approach, posterior predictive model checking (PPMC) has become a popular tool for fit assessment of item response theory (IRT) models. In this study, we propose the use of the Hellinger distance within PPMC to quantify the distance between the realized and the predictive distribution of the model-based covariance for item pairs. Specifically, the case of multidimensional data analyzed with a unidimensional approach is taken into account. The results of the simulation study show the effectiveness of the method in detecting model misfit and the sensitivity to the trait correlations. An application to real data on tourism perceptions shows the feasibility of the method in practice and especially the capability of detecting potential misfit attributed to specific items.
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Prediction Intervals
However, the point estimate is most likely not the exact value of the population parameter, but close to it. After calculating point estimates, we construct interval estimates, called confidence intervals or prediction intervals. This prediction interval comprises a range of values unlike the point estimate and is a better predictor of the observed sample value, y.

