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Predictors of Cardiovascular Events in Hypertensive Patients with High Cardiovascular Risk
Ivan Tasić1,2, Svetlana Kostić2, Nikola M Stojanović1
1Faculty of Medicine, University of Niš, 18000 Niš, Serbia.
Insights
Predictors of cardiovascular events in hypertensive patients include age, cholesterol, diabetes, intima-media thickness, and carotid artery plaques. Managing these factors is crucial for improving long-term outcomes in high-risk individuals.
Area of Science:
- Cardiology
- Hypertension Research
- Preventive Medicine
Background:
- Effective hypertension management requires considering blood pressure and overall cardiovascular risk.
- Treatment aims to lower blood pressure, modify risk factors, prevent target organ damage, and avoid cardiovascular events.
Purpose of the Study:
- To identify independent predictors of cardiovascular events in hypertensive patients with high cardiovascular risk.
- To assess the impact of modifiable risk factors on long-term prognosis in this population.
Main Methods:
- Prospective study of 142 hypertensive patients (mean age 63.1 years, 65% female) with high cardiovascular risk.
- Average follow-up duration of 6.2 years.
- Multivariate analysis to determine significant predictors of cardiovascular events and mortality.
Main Results:
- The incidence of non-fatal/fatal cardiovascular events was 19.7%, cardiovascular mortality was 7%, and total mortality was 9.9%.
- Carotid artery plaques, diabetes mellitus, and baseline cholesterol levels predicted increased cardiovascular events.
- Age, intima-media thickness, and diabetes mellitus predicted increased cardiovascular mortality.
- Age and cholesterol levels independently predicted increased total mortality.
Conclusions:
- Key predictors of adverse cardiovascular events in high-risk hypertensive patients include age, cholesterol levels, diabetes mellitus, intima-media thickness, and carotid artery plaques.
- These findings highlight the importance of comprehensive risk factor management in hypertensive individuals.
Abstract:
Background and objectives: A long-term therapeutic strategy in hypertensive patients equally depends on measured arterial blood pressure values and total determined cardiovascular risk. The aim of the adequate hypertensive patient treatment is both the reduction in arterial blood pressure and the reduction of all preexisting modifiable risk factors, prevention of target organs damage, and adverse cardiovascular events. The aim of this study was to determine independent predictors of cardiovascular events in patients with hypertension and high cardiovascular (CV) risk, and whether the modifiable risk factors could affect long-term prognosis in the studied population. Materials and Methods: This prospective study included 142 hypertensive patients (65% females), mean age 63.1±8 years, with high CV risk. Each participant was followed for 6.2 years. Results: During the follow-up period, the incidence of non-fatal and fatal CV events was 19.7%, CV mortality 7%, and total mortality 9.9%. Our multivariate analysis showed that plaques in both carotid arteries (p = 0.042), diabetes mellitus (p = 0.042) and cholesterol at the beginning of the study (p = 0.016) were significantly associated with an increased risk of CV events. Patients' age (p = 0.009), intima-media thickness (p = 0.001) and diabetes mellitus (p = 0.042) were significantly associated with an increased risk of CV mortality, and age (p = 0.007) and cholesterol (p = 0.002) were independent variables significantly associated with increased total mortality rates. Conclusions: The results of the present study showed that the main predictors of adverse CV events in high-risk hypertensive patients were years of age, cholesterol levels, diabetes, intima-media thickness, and carotid arteries plaques.
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