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A Bio-Economic Crop Yield Response (BECYR) Model for Corn and Soybeans in Ontario, Canada for 1959-2013
Qin Xu1, Glenn Fox2, Daniel W McKenney3
1Department of Food, Agricultural and Resource Economics, University of Guelph, J.D. MacLachlan Building, Guelph, Ontario, N1G 2W1, Canada. qinxu626@gmail.com.
Abstract:
This paper presents estimates of the effects of changing climate on crop yields for grain corn and soybeans in Ontario, Canada, for 1959-2013. We were able to use a database that is more comprehensive with respect to explanatory variables than some previous efforts had available. Our model includes climate variables, prices, land quality, groundwater level, CO2 concentration, and a time trend. Our results indicate that trends in temperature and precipitation during our study period have not yet resulted in appreciable threats to crop yields in the region.
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