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Updated: Dec 22, 2025

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Published on: February 26, 2013
Death rates and causes in anticoagulated atrial fibrillation patients: a population-based study
Gentian Denas1, Ugo Fedeli2, Nicola Gennaro2
1Cardiology Clinic, Department of Cardiac, Thoracic and Vascular Sciences, University of Padova.
Insights
Patients on direct oral anticoagulants (DOACs) have lower mortality than those on vitamin K antagonists (VKAs). DOACs also showed similar intracranial hemorrhage mortality to the general population.
Area of Science:
- Cardiovascular Medicine
- Pharmacology
- Public Health
Background:
- Atrial fibrillation (AF) patients require anticoagulation to prevent stroke.
- Comparing mortality risks between direct oral anticoagulants (DOACs) and vitamin K antagonists (VKAs) is crucial for patient care.
- Understanding the impact of anticoagulation on overall and cause-specific mortality in AF patients compared to the general population is essential.
Purpose of the Study:
- To compare all-cause mortality between anticoagulated atrial fibrillation (AF) patients and the general population.
- To compare mortality rates among different anticoagulation therapies, specifically direct oral anticoagulants (DOACs) versus vitamin K antagonists (VKAs).
- To assess the risk of intracranial hemorrhage (ICH) mortality in AF patients on DOACs and VKAs compared to the general population.
Main Methods:
- Population-based study utilizing administrative claims data from the Veneto Region (July 2013-September 2017).
- Inclusion of all residents aged 18 years and older.
- Propensity score matching to compare anticoagulation-naïve AF patients initiated on DOACs versus VKAs.
Main Results:
- A total of 17,225 patients on DOACs were matched 1:1 with VKA patients (median age 77 years, 49% males).
- Mortality was 22% higher in the DOAC group and 39% higher in the VKA group compared to the general population.
- Intracranial hemorrhage (ICH) mortality was similar to the general population with DOACs (SMR 1.06) but nearly doubled with VKAs (SMR 1.92).
- DOACs demonstrated a 44% reduction in ICH mortality risk compared to VKAs (HR 0.56).
Conclusions:
- Anticoagulated atrial fibrillation patients exhibit increased mortality compared to the general population, with VKA users facing higher risks.
- Direct oral anticoagulants (DOACs) are associated with a lower risk of death from intracranial hemorrhage compared to vitamin K antagonists (VKAs).
- The mortality rate for intracranial bleeding in patients on DOACs is comparable to that of the general population.
Aims:
To compare mortality between anticoagulated atrial fibrillation patients and general population and among anticoagulation specific categories [direct oral anticoagulants (DOACs) vs. vitamin K antagonists(VKA)].
Methods:
This was a population-based study including all residents in the Veneto Region aged 18 years or older. Administrative claims from July 2013 to September 2017 were used to identify anticoagulation-naïve atrial fibrillation patients. Propensity score matching was employed to compare patients on new and old anticoagulants.
Results:
Overall, 17 225 patients on direct anticoagulants were 1 : 1 matched to patients on VKA (49% males, median age 77 years). Mortality was higher with respect to the general population by 22 and 39% among patients on direct anticoagulants and VKA, respectively. Mortality from intracranial hemorrhage in the direct anticoagulant group was similar to that in the general population [standardized mortality ratio: 1.06, 95% confidence intervals (CI) 0.76-1.48], whereas it almost doubled in VKA group (1.92, 95% CI 1.49-2.46). When directly compared with the VKA cohort, the risk of death from intracranial hemorrhage halved with DOACs (hazard ratio 0.56, 95% CI 0.37-0.84).
Conclusion:
The mortality rate of anticoagulated atrial fibrillation patients is increased with respect to the general population, particularly among patients treated with VKAs. The mortality rate for intracranial bleeding with DOACs is similar to that observed in the general population.
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