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Updated: Dec 22, 2025

Murine Experimental Model of Original Tumor Development and Peritoneal Metastasis via Orthotopic Inoculation with Ovarian Carcinoma Cells
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Climate change and mortality evolution in China.

Chengzheng Li1, Haiying Gu2

  • 1Institute for Economic and Social Research, Jinan University, Guangzhou, China.

Journal of Environmental Management
|May 5, 2020
PubMed
Summary

Rising temperatures significantly increase China

Area of Science:

  • Environmental Science
  • Public Health
  • Economics

Background:

  • China's mortality rate has risen alongside economic growth.
  • The impact of weather fluctuations on mortality is not fully understood.

Purpose of the Study:

  • To investigate the historical relationship between weather fluctuations and mortality in China.
  • To quantify the short-term and medium-term effects of temperature on mortality.
  • To identify factors mitigating temperature-related mortality.

Main Methods:

  • Panel data analysis of annual provincial mortality rates and daily weather variables (1964-2008).
  • Dynamic model with controls for short-term effects.
  • Hybrid model (long difference approach) for medium-term effects.
Keywords:
AdaptationClimate changeIntensificationMortality rate

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  • Interaction analysis with potential mitigating factors.

    • Main Results:

    • A 1°C average temperature rise increases annual mortality by 3.2%.
    • Extreme heat days (≥27°C or ≥30°C) are linked to increased mortality.
    • Little evidence of adaptation to high temperatures in the medium term.
    • Residential air conditioning mitigates but has low penetration.

    Conclusions:

    • Climate change, specifically rising temperatures, may contribute to China's historical mortality trends.
    • Adaptation strategies beyond air conditioning are limited.
    • Future climate change poses a risk to public health in China.