Distribution and predictive value of initial presenting symptoms in spinal metastases from primary cancer patients

Primary cancer patients may have some symptoms and develop spinal metastases in their disease progression. This study was to report the distribution and predictive value of specific initial presenting symptoms in patients with spine metastatic disease.

The clinical information about patients with primary cancers was retrospectively collected and analyzed at their initial diagnosis from January 2008 to December 2017. The distribution and specific value of initial presenting symptoms were analyzed in predicting spinal metastases.

A total of 14,603 cancer patients were finally included, of whom 1665 (11.4%) cases were confirmed with spinal metastases. 41.55% (6067/14,603) patients had initial presenting symptoms, while 92.19% (1535/1665) patients with spinal metastases presented at least one initial presenting symptoms. Among 6269 patients with symptoms, 1535 (24.49%) were diagnosed with spinal metastases. Factors including primary tumor type, local pain, night-aggravating pain, limb numbness, limb weakness, unstable gait, claudication, loss of sphincter control, and weight loss are associated with the distribution of spinal metastases. The pooled sensitivity, specificity, positive predictive value, and negative predictive value were 90.9% (89.4-92.2%), 64.9% (64.0-65.7%), 24.99% (23.91-26.11%), and 98.23% (97.92-98.50%), respectively. Positive likelihood ratio of "night-aggravating pain" was 33.25 (12.65-87.36) and 17.26 (12.25-24.32) in patients < 45 and 45-64 years old, respectively.

The distribution of spinal metastases is associated with primary tumor type and initial presenting symptoms. The predictive value of initial presenting symptoms differs in age groups, but resembles in cancer types. The presence of night-aggravating pain had relative high value in predicting metastases in cancer patients under 65 years old.