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Validation of serum neurofilaments as prognostic and potential pharmacodynamic biomarkers for ALS
Michael Benatar1, Lanyu Zhang2, Lily Wang2
1From Miller School of Medicine (M.B., L.Z., L.W., V.G., J.W.), University of Miami, FL; Kansas University Medical Center (J.S., R.B.), Kansas City; University of Iowa (A.S.), Iowa City; University of California San Diego (J.R.); University of Texas Health Science Center San Antonio (C.J.); University of Virginia (T.M.B.), Charlottesville; UT Southwestern Medical Center (J.T.), Dallas, TX; Cleveland Clinic (E.P.P.), OH; Wake Forest School of Medicine (J.C.), Winston-Salem, NC; California Pacific Medical Center (J.K.), San Francisco; John P Hussman Institute for Human Genomics (J.L.M.), Miami; Mayo Clinic Jacksonville (R.R.), FL; Blizard Institute (A.M.), Queen Mary University of London, UK; and Johns Hopkins University (L.W.O.), Baltimore, MD. mbenatar@med.miami.edu jwuu@med.miami.edu.
Objective:
To identify preferred neurofilament assays and clinically validate serum neurofilament light (NfL) and phosphorylated neurofilament heavy (pNfH) as prognostic and potential pharmacodynamic biomarkers relevant to amyotrophic lateral sclerosis (ALS) therapy development.
Methods:
In this prospective, multicenter, longitudinal observational study of patients with ALS (n = 229), primary lateral sclerosis (n = 20), and progressive muscular atrophy (n = 11), biological specimens were collected, processed, and stored according to strict standard operating procedures (SOPs). Neurofilament assays were performed in a blinded manner by independent contract research organizations.
Results:
For serum NfL and pNfH measured using the Simoa assay, there were no missing data (i.e., technical replicates below the lower limit of detection were not encountered). For the Iron Horse and Euroimmun pNfH assays, such missingness was encountered in ∼4% and ∼10% of serum samples, respectively. Mean coefficients of variation for NfL in serum and CSF were both ∼3%. Mean coefficients of variation for pNfH in serum and CSF were ∼4%-5% and ∼2%-3%, respectively, in all assays. Baseline serum NfL concentration, but not pNfH, predicted the future Revised ALS Functional Rating Scale (ALSFRS-R) slope and survival. Incorporation of baseline serum NfL into mixed effects models of ALSFRS-R slopes yields an estimated sample size saving of ∼8%. Depending on the method used to estimate effect size, use of serum NfL (and perhaps pNfH) as pharmacodynamic biomarkers, instead of the ALSFRS-R slope, yields significantly larger sample size savings.
Conclusions:
Serum NfL may be considered a clinically validated prognostic biomarker for ALS. Serum NfL (and perhaps pNfH), quantified using the Simoa assay, has potential utility as a pharmacodynamic biomarker of treatment effect.
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