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Estimating sea lice infestation pressure on salmon farms: Comparing different methods using multivariate state-space
Adel Elghafghuf1, Raphael Vanderstichel1, Larry Hammell1
1Centre for Veterinary Epidemiological Research, Department of Health Management, Atlantic Veterinary College, University of Prince Edward Island, Charlottetown, PE, C1A 4P3, Canada.
Quantifying sea lice infestation pressure is key for Atlantic salmon farming. External infestation pressure (EIP) models better explained sea lice variations than internal (IIP) models, with the fixed lag method showing the best predictive performance.
Area of Science:
- Aquaculture
- Parasitology
- Ecology
Background:
- Sea lice are significant ectoparasites impacting Atlantic salmon farming.
- Infestation originates from internal and external sources, necessitating effective quantification methods.
Purpose of the Study:
- To review and compare five methods for quantifying sea lice infestation pressure.
- To model the effects of internal infestation pressure (IIP) and external infestation pressure (EIP) on salmon farms.
Main Methods:
- Utilized sea lice data from 20 farms in the Bay of Fundy, New Brunswick.
- Employed a multivariate state-space model to estimate IIP and EIP, considering unique or common parameters across production cycles.
- Included predictive variables like water temperature and sea lice treatments.
Main Results:
- Models incorporating only EIP demonstrated superior explanatory power compared to those with only IIP.
- Models with unique IIP and EIP parameters across all cycles generally yielded the best model fit.
- The fixed lag method for calculating infestation pressure exhibited the highest predictive performance among the evaluated methods.
Conclusions:
- External infestation pressure is a more significant driver of sea lice dynamics than internal pressure in this context.
- A simplified, fixed lag approach offers robust predictive capabilities for sea lice management.
- Findings support improved management strategies for sea lice in Atlantic salmon aquaculture.
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