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Automatic spatial estimation of white matter hyperintensities evolution in brain MRI using disease evolution
Muhammad Febrian Rachmadi1, Maria Del C Valdés-Hernández2, Stephen Makin3
1School of Informatics, University of Edinburgh, Edinburgh, UK; Centre for Clinical Brain Sciences, University of Edinburgh, Edinburgh, UK.
Medical Image Analysis
|May 20, 2020
Summary
Predicting white matter hyperintensities (WMH) evolution is challenging. This study introduces a deep learning model, the Disease Evolution Predictor (DEP), to forecast WMH changes over time, incorporating noise to handle prediction uncertainty.
Area of Science:
- Neuroimaging
- Medical Artificial Intelligence
- Radiology
Background:
- White matter hyperintensities (WMH) are key indicators of small vessel disease and can change over time.
- Predicting WMH evolution is complex due to unknown clinical risk factors, making it a non-deterministic task.
Purpose of the Study:
- To develop and evaluate a deep learning model, the Disease Evolution Predictor (DEP), for predicting WMH evolution from baseline to 1-year follow-up.
- To explore both supervised (DEP-UResNet) and unsupervised (DEP-GAN) deep learning approaches for WMH evolution prediction.
- To investigate the impact of auxiliary inputs, such as Gaussian noise, on the model's ability to handle the non-deterministic nature of WMH changes.
Main Methods:
- Proposed two DEP models: DEP-UResNet (supervised) and DEP-GAN (unsupervised).
- Incorporated auxiliary inputs, including Gaussian noise, baseline WMH, and stroke lesion loads, to simulate non-deterministic factors.
- Evaluated model performance using clinical assessments and ablation studies.
Main Results:
- Fully supervised DEP-UResNet generally outperformed unsupervised DEP-GAN.
- A semi-supervised DEP-GAN achieved performance comparable to DEP-UResNet and excelled in clinical evaluation.
- Auxiliary inputs, particularly Gaussian noise, significantly improved DEP model performance across architectures.
Conclusions:
- Deep learning models, especially with semi-supervised approaches and auxiliary inputs like Gaussian noise, can effectively predict WMH evolution.
- This study represents a novel approach to modeling the non-deterministic nature of WMH changes using AI.

