Automatic spatial estimation of white matter hyperintensities evolution in brain MRI using disease evolution

Muhammad Febrian Rachmadi1, Maria Del C Valdés-Hernández2, Stephen Makin3

  • 1School of Informatics, University of Edinburgh, Edinburgh, UK; Centre for Clinical Brain Sciences, University of Edinburgh, Edinburgh, UK.

Insights

Predicting white matter hyperintensities (WMH) evolution is challenging. This study introduces a deep learning model, the Disease Evolution Predictor (DEP), to forecast WMH changes over time, incorporating noise to handle prediction uncertainty.

Area of Science:

  • Neuroimaging
  • Medical Artificial Intelligence
  • Radiology

Background:

  • White matter hyperintensities (WMH) are key indicators of small vessel disease and can change over time.
  • Predicting WMH evolution is complex due to unknown clinical risk factors, making it a non-deterministic task.

Purpose of the Study:

  • To develop and evaluate a deep learning model, the Disease Evolution Predictor (DEP), for predicting WMH evolution from baseline to 1-year follow-up.
  • To explore both supervised (DEP-UResNet) and unsupervised (DEP-GAN) deep learning approaches for WMH evolution prediction.
  • To investigate the impact of auxiliary inputs, such as Gaussian noise, on the model's ability to handle the non-deterministic nature of WMH changes.

Main Methods:

  • Proposed two DEP models: DEP-UResNet (supervised) and DEP-GAN (unsupervised).
  • Incorporated auxiliary inputs, including Gaussian noise, baseline WMH, and stroke lesion loads, to simulate non-deterministic factors.
  • Evaluated model performance using clinical assessments and ablation studies.

Main Results:

  • Fully supervised DEP-UResNet generally outperformed unsupervised DEP-GAN.
  • A semi-supervised DEP-GAN achieved performance comparable to DEP-UResNet and excelled in clinical evaluation.
  • Auxiliary inputs, particularly Gaussian noise, significantly improved DEP model performance across architectures.

Conclusions:

  • Deep learning models, especially with semi-supervised approaches and auxiliary inputs like Gaussian noise, can effectively predict WMH evolution.
  • This study represents a novel approach to modeling the non-deterministic nature of WMH changes using AI.

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