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Severe air pollution links to higher mortality in COVID-19 patients: The "double-hit" hypothesis
Antonio Frontera1, Lorenzo Cianfanelli1, Konstantinos Vlachos2
1IRCCS San Raffaele Scientific Institute, Via Olgettina 60, Milan, Italy.
Objectives:
In areas of SARS-CoV-2 outbreak worldwide mean air pollutants concentrations vastly exceed the maximum limits. Chronic exposure to air pollutants have been associated with lung ACE-2 over-expression which is known to be the main receptor for SARS-CoV-2. The aim of this study was to analyse the relationship between air pollutants concentration (PM 2.5 and NO2) and COVID-19 outbreak, in terms of transmission, number of patients, severity of presentation and number of deaths.
Methods:
COVID-19 cases, ICU admissions and mortality rate were correlated with severity of air pollution in the Italian regions.
Results:
The highest number of COVID-19 cases were recorded in the most polluted regions with patients presenting with more severe forms of the disease requiring ICU admission. In these regions, mortality was two-fold higher than the other regions.
Conclusions:
From the data available we propose a "double-hit hypothesis": chronic exposure to PM 2.5 causes alveolar ACE-2 receptor overexpression. This may increase viral load in patients exposed to pollutants in turn depleting ACE-2 receptors and impairing host defences. High atmospheric NO2 may provide a second hit causing a severe form of SARS-CoV-2 in ACE-2 depleted lungs resulting in a worse outcome.
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