A Novel Classification of Intrahepatic Cholangiocarcinoma Phenotypes Using Machine Learning Techniques: An
Diamantis I Tsilimigras1, J Madison Hyer1, Anghela Z Paredes1
1Department of Surgery, Division of Surgical Oncology, The Ohio State University Wexner Medical Center and James Comprehensive Cancer Center, Columbus, OH, USA.
Machine learning identified three distinct patient groups for intrahepatic cholangiocarcinoma (ICC) based on preoperative factors. These clusters show significantly different outcomes, aiding in risk stratification for ICC patients.
Area of Science:
- Hepatobiliary Surgery
- Oncology
- Machine Learning in Medicine
Background:
- Intrahepatic cholangiocarcinoma (ICC) patients often have poor prognoses.
- Significant heterogeneity exists in ICC presentation and outcomes.
- Identifying distinct patient subgroups is crucial for personalized treatment.
Purpose of the Study:
- To identify distinct clusters of ICC patients based on preoperative characteristics.
- To determine if these clusters correlate with different patient outcomes.
- To develop a tool for prospective patient classification.
Main Methods:
- Utilized a multi-institutional database of 826 ICC patients undergoing curative-intent resection (2000-2017).
- Performed cluster analysis on preoperative variables (tumor size, CA 19-9, NLR).
- Developed a classification tree for prospective patient assignment into identified clusters.
Main Results:
- Identified three distinct ICC presentation clusters: common (58.9%), proliferative (34.9%), and inflammatory (6.2%).
- Clusters differed significantly in tumor size, CA 19-9, and neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio (NLR).
- Median overall survival (OS) decreased progressively across clusters (60.4, 27.2, 13.3 months; p<0.001).
- Classification tree showed excellent agreement (κ=0.93) for cluster assignment.
Conclusions:
- Machine learning effectively identified three prognostic ICC clusters using only preoperative data.
- Preoperative patient heterogeneity can be characterized using machine learning.
- This approach can assist physicians in preoperative selection and risk stratification for ICC patients.
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