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Is visiting Qom spread CoVID-19 epidemic in the Middle East?
1Department of Computer Engineering, Faculty of Engineering and Architecture, Istanbul Gelisim University, Istanbul, Turkey. nadia.rousan@yahoo.com.
Summary
The COVID-19 epidemic spread globally through various transmission routes. Human mobility and religious gatherings significantly contributed to its spread in the Middle East, necessitating border closures and support for affected nations.
Area of Science:
- Epidemiology
- Public Health
- Infectious Diseases
Background:
- The COVID-19 epidemic, originating in Wuhan, China, rapidly disseminated globally.
- Initial cases in the Middle East (Iran, UAE) were linked to travel from China.
- Subsequent transmissions in the region were associated with Qom, Iran, and Shi'ite holy sites.
Purpose of the Study:
- To meticulously trace the confirmed cases of COVID-19 in the Middle East up to March 6, 2020.
- To analyze the patterns and drivers of COVID-19 transmission within the Middle East region.
- To identify key factors contributing to the epidemic's spread in the Middle East.
Main Methods:
- Retrospective analysis of confirmed COVID-19 cases in the Middle East.
- Tracing the geographical and temporal spread of the virus.
- Identifying transmission pathways, including travel and religious activities.
Main Results:
- Confirmed COVID-19 cases were traced across multiple Middle Eastern countries.
- Human mobility, including international travel, was a primary driver of initial spread.
- Engagement in religious rites, particularly Shi'ite gatherings, facilitated further transmission within the region.
Conclusions:
- Human mobility and religious practices were significant factors in the Middle East COVID-19 outbreak.
- Recommendations include restricting religious gatherings and implementing border controls.
- International cooperation and support for infected countries are crucial for containment.
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