Predictors of Long-term Outcomes in Patients With Connective Tissue Disease Associated With Pulmonary Arterial...

Pulmonary arterial hypertension (PAH) is a progressive disease characterized by increased pulmonary arterial pressure and pulmonary vascular resistance that can lead to right-sided heart failure. Connective tissue disease-associated PAH (CTD-PAH) often has poorer outcomes than idiopathic or hereditary PAH, suggesting the presence of non-PAH factors that could affect the prognoses. This cohort study aimed to identify prognostic factors for CTD-PAH management.

Medical records from April 1999 to November 2014 were reviewed to determine the time from treatment initiation to the occurrence of a clinically worsening event and the time elapsed until death. Data at baseline and the final assessment were used to identify prognostic factors associated with events using univariate and multivariate analyses by the stepwise Cox regression method.

In 36 patients with CTD-PAH analyzed, the proportions with no clinically worsening events at 1, 2, and 3 years after treatment initiation were 62%, 52%, and 45%, respectively, with survival rates of 88%, 77%, and 77%, respectively. The regression model showed that reduced hemoglobin at baseline, reduced qR pattern in electrocardiogram lead V1, increased 60-minute erythrocyte sedimentation rate, and increased mean pulmonary arterial pressure at the final assessment were risk factors that were significantly associated with clinical worsening. For survival, no prognostic factor was identifiable.

Hemodynamic and non-PAH factors, such as anemia, nutritional status, and inflammatory activity of the underlying CTD, which are not listed in the risk assessment table of PAH guidelines, should be strictly controlled to improve the prognosis of patients with CTD-PAH. A more multifactorial treatment strategy should be developed.