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Moving Beyond pā<ā0.05 in Ecotoxicology: A Guide for Practitioners
Richard A Erickson1, Barnett A Rattner2
1Upper Midwest Environmental Sciences Center, US Geological Survey, La Crosse, Wisconsin.
Null hypothesis significance testing (NHST) and p-values are widely used but flawed in ecotoxicology. Alternative statistical methods are needed for more robust scientific inferences.
Area of Science:
- Ecotoxicology
- Statistical Inference
- Environmental Science
Background:
- Null hypothesis significance testing (NHST) has been the primary statistical method in ecotoxicology.
- NHST relies on p-values to determine statistical significance, but has faced long-standing criticisms.
- Incorrect reporting of p-values persists in ecotoxicology literature, as evidenced by reviews of Environmental Toxicology & Chemistry (ET&C).
Purpose of the Study:
- To highlight the limitations of NHST and p-values in ecotoxicology.
- To advocate for the adoption of alternative statistical inference methods.
- To explore the future of statistical practices in ecotoxicology beyond p-values.
Main Methods:
- Review of statistical reporting practices in ecotoxicology journals.
- Discussion of the criticisms and limitations of NHST.
- Description of alternative statistical methods relevant to ecotoxicology.
Main Results:
- A review of the 2019 ET&C volume revealed continued incorrect reporting of p-values.
- The American Statistical Association (ASA) has recommended against the use of "statistical significance" in 2019.
- There is a clear need for ecotoxicologists to adopt alternative statistical approaches.
Conclusions:
- Ecotoxicology must move beyond traditional NHST and p-values.
- Alternative methods such as confidence intervals, regression analysis, and Bayes factors offer more reliable inferences.
- Adopting new statistical tools will advance the field of ecotoxicology.
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