Integrating Systems Biology and an Ex Vivo Human Tumor Model Elucidates PD-1 Blockade Response Dynamics

Ex vivo human tumor models have emerged as promising, yet complex tools to study cancer immunotherapy response dynamics. Here, we present a strategy that integrates empirical data from an ex vivo human system with computational models to interpret the response dynamics of a clinically prescribed PD-1 inhibitor, nivolumab, in head and neck squamous cell carcinoma (HNSCC) biopsies (N = 50). Using biological assays, we show that drug-induced variance stratifies samples by T helper type 1 (Th1)-related pathways. We then built a systems biology network and mathematical framework of local and global sensitivity analyses to simulate and estimate antitumor phenotypes, which implicate a dynamic role for the induction of Th1-related cytokines and T cell proliferation patterns. Together, we describe a multi-disciplinary strategy to analyze and interpret the response dynamics of PD-1 blockade using heterogeneous ex vivo data and in silico simulations, which could provide researchers a powerful toolset to interrogate immune checkpoint inhibitors.