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Performance of the BIG Score in Predicting Mortality in Normotensive Children With Trauma
Tae Jin Yoon1, Yura Ko, Jisook Lee
1From the Department of Emergency, Department of Trauma Surgery, Ajou University School of Medicine, Suwon, Korea.
Insights
The BIG score accurately predicts mortality in children with trauma who are not hypotensive. This score, using base deficit, international normalized ratio, and Glasgow Coma Scale, offers a reliable tool for assessing pediatric trauma outcomes.
Area of Science:
- Pediatric Trauma Research
- Clinical Scoring Systems
- Emergency Medicine
Background:
- Children possess a greater physiological reserve during traumatic hemorrhagic shock.
- Existing trauma scores may not adequately capture mortality risk in normotensive pediatric patients.
- The BIG score (Base deficit, International Normalized Ratio, Glasgow Coma Scale) has shown promise in predicting mortality.
Purpose of the Study:
- To validate the predictive performance of the BIG score for mortality in normotensive pediatric trauma patients.
- To compare the BIG score's accuracy against established trauma scoring systems.
Main Methods:
- Retrospective review of 1046 injured children (<18 years) admitted to a Korean academic hospital (2010-2018).
- Exclusion of patients with age-adjusted hypotension.
- Calculation and comparison of Areas Under the Curve (AUCs) for the BIG score, Revised Trauma Score, and Pediatric Trauma Score for in-hospital mortality prediction.
Main Results:
- The study enrolled 554 children with a 4.9% in-hospital mortality rate.
- The BIG score demonstrated a higher AUC (0.94) for mortality prediction compared to the Pediatric Trauma Score (0.87; P < 0.001).
- The BIG score showed a trend towards better performance than the Revised Trauma Score (AUC 0.90; P = 0.130), with a strong correlation between in-hospital and BIG-predicted mortalities.
Conclusions:
- The BIG score is a highly accurate tool for predicting mortality in normotensive pediatric trauma patients.
- The BIG score's components (base deficit, INR, GCS) effectively capture critical physiological derangements in pediatric trauma.
- This validation supports the clinical utility of the BIG score in managing critically injured children.
Objectives:
Children have a larger reserve for traumatic hemorrhagic shock, requiring a score that uses physiologic variables other than hypotension. Recently, the BIG score comprising admission base deficit, international normalized ratio, and the Glasgow Coma Scale has been reported to predict traumatic mortality. We aimed to validate the performance of the BIG score in mortality prediction of normotensive children with trauma.
Methods:
We reviewed 1046 injured children (<18 years) who visited a Korean academic hospital from 2010 to 2018, excluding those with age-adjusted hypotension. In-hospital mortality, the BIG score and its predicted mortality, Revised Trauma Score, and Pediatric Trauma Score were calculated. We compared areas under the curve (AUCs) for in-hospital mortality of the 3 scores and did in-hospital and BIG-predicted mortalities.
Results:
Of the 1046 children, 554 were enrolled with a 4.9% in-hospital mortality rate. The median BIG score was higher in the nonsurvivors (6.4 [interquartile range, 4.4-9.2] vs 20.1 [16.5-24.8]; P < 0.001). The AUC of the BIG score was 0.94 (95% confidence interval [CI], 0.92-0.96), which was higher than that of Pediatric Trauma Score (0.87 [95% CI, 0.84-0.90]; P < 0.001). The AUC of the BIG score tended to be higher than that of Revised Trauma Score without statistical significance (0.90 [95% CI, 0.87-0.92]; P = 0.130). We noted a parallel between in-hospital and BIG-predicted mortalities. The hemorrhage-related nonsurvivors showed higher median base deficit and BIG score than did the isolated traumatic brain injury-related ones.
Conclusions:
The BIG score can predict mortality with excellent accuracy in normotensive children with trauma.
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