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Ranking provincial power generation sources of China: a decision-maker preferences based integrated multi-criteria
Shiwei Yu1,2, Yali Zheng3,4, Longxi Li3,4
1Center for Energy Environmental Management and Decision-making, China University of Geosciences, Wuhan, 430074, China. ysw81993@sina.com.
Wind power is the top priority for most Chinese provinces, while nuclear and thermal power are least preferred. Biomass is favored when technology is the main consideration.
Area of Science:
- Energy Policy and Planning
- Multi-Criteria Decision Making (MCDM)
- Sustainable Energy Systems
Background:
- Accurate ranking of power generation sources is crucial for installation planning and energy security.
- Existing methods may not fully capture regional specificities and diverse decision-maker preferences.
- China's vast and diverse provincial landscape requires tailored energy source prioritization.
Purpose of the Study:
- To propose a novel multi-criteria system for ranking regional power generation sources.
- To develop an integrated MCDM framework reflecting diverse decision-maker preferences.
- To rank six major power sources across China's 30 provinces based on multiple criteria.
Main Methods:
- A multi-criteria system incorporating resources, economy, technology, environment, and society (11 sub-criteria).
- An integrated MCDM framework combining VIKOR, TOPSIS, PROMETHEE, and WSM.
- Analysis of six different decision-maker preferences across China's 30 provinces.
Main Results:
- Wind power emerges as the top-ranked source for most provinces.
- Nuclear and thermal power are ranked last in 26 provinces.
- Biomass is the preferred source in 17 provinces under technological priority.
- Thermal power remains a preferred option in coal-rich provinces (e.g., Shanxi, Inner Mongolia).
Conclusions:
- The proposed MCDM framework effectively ranks power generation sources considering regional and DM preferences.
- Wind energy presents a strong potential for widespread adoption across China.
- Energy source prioritization needs to balance technological, resource, and environmental considerations.
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