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Published on: January 17, 2011
Risk Factors for Peri-intubation Cardiac Arrest in a Pediatric Emergency Department
Nicholas Pokrajac1, Emily Sbiroli2, Kathryn A Hollenbach3
1From the Department of Emergency Medicine, Stanford University School of Medicine.
Insights
Hypoxia and being younger than one year are key risk factors for pediatric peri-intubation cardiac arrest (PICA) after emergent endotracheal intubation (ETI). This study identified predictors to improve patient safety during pediatric emergency intubations.
Area of Science:
- Pediatric Emergency Medicine
- Critical Care
- Airway Management
Background:
- Emergent endotracheal intubation (ETI) in children can lead to cardiac arrest.
- Risk factors for peri-intubation cardiac arrest (PICA) in pediatric emergency departments (EDs) are not well-defined.
Purpose of the Study:
- To identify risk factors associated with PICA in pediatric patients undergoing emergent ETI.
- To develop a predictive model for PICA in this population.
Main Methods:
- Nested case-control study conducted in a pediatric ED over 9 years.
- Cases were children experiencing PICA within 20 minutes of ETI; controls were randomly selected children without PICA.
- Risk factors were analyzed using univariate methods and a predictive risk model was developed.
Main Results:
- PICA occurred in 3.9% of pediatric ETI cases.
- Younger age, delayed capillary refill, hypotension, hypoxia, multiple intubation attempts, lack of sedation/paralysis, and pulmonary disease were associated with PICA.
- A risk model combining pre-intubation hypoxia and age younger than 1 year demonstrated strong predictive accuracy (AUC 0.87).
Conclusions:
- Pre-intubation hypoxia (or unobtainable pulse oximetry) is the strongest predictor of PICA in pediatric emergent ETI.
- A simple risk model incorporating hypoxia and young age effectively identifies children at high risk for PICA.
- Independent validation of the risk model is recommended.
Objectives:
Cardiac arrest is a significant complication of emergent endotracheal intubation (ETI) within the pediatric population. No studies have evaluated risk factors for peri-intubation cardiac arrest (PICA) in a pediatric emergency department (ED) setting. This study identified risk factors for PICA among patients undergoing emergent ETI in a pediatric ED.
Methods:
We performed a nested case-control study within the cohort of children who underwent emergent ETI in our pediatric ED during a 9-year period. Cases were children with PICA within 20 minutes of ETI. Controls (4 per case) were randomly selected children without PICA after ETI. We analyzed potential risk factors based on published data and physiologic plausibility and created a simple risk model using univariate results, model fit statistics, and clinical judgment.
Results:
In the cohort of patients undergoing ETI, PICA occurred in 21 of 543 subjects (3.9%; 95% confidence interval [CI], 2.2-5.9%), with return of spontaneous circulation in 16 of 21 (76.2%; 95% CI, 52.8-91.8%) and survival to discharge in 12 of 21 (57.1%; 95% CI, 34.0-78.2%). On univariate analysis, cases were more likely to be younger, have delayed capillary refill time, systolic or diastolic hypotension, hypoxia, greater than one intubation attempt, no sedative or paralytic used, and pulmonary disease compared with controls. Our 4-category risk model for PICA combined preintubation hypoxia (or an unobtainable pulse oximetry value) and younger than 1 year. The area under the receiver operating characteristic curve for this model was 0.87 (95% CI, 0.77-0.97).
Conclusions:
Hypoxia (or an unobtainable pulse oximetry value) was the strongest predictor for PICA among children after emergent ETI in our sample. A simple risk model combining pre-ETI hypoxia and younger than 1 year showed excellent discrimination in this sample. Our results require independent validation.
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