Tumor Mutational Burden, Toxicity, and Response of Immune Checkpoint Inhibitors Targeting PD(L)1, CTLA-4, and

Arsen Osipov1, Su Jin Lim1, Aleksandra Popovic1

  • 1Department of Oncology, Johns Hopkins University School of Medicine, Baltimore, Maryland.

Abstract

Insights

Tumor mutational burden (TMB) predicts response to immunotherapy (ICI) but not toxicity. Higher TMB in tumors suggests a favorable risk/benefit ratio for ICI treatments, enhancing objective response rates.

Area of Science:

  • Oncology
  • Immunotherapy
  • Biomarkers

Background:

  • Tumor mutational burden (TMB) is a potential biomarker for predicting response to immune checkpoint inhibitor (ICI) therapy.
  • The association between TMB and ICI-related toxicity is not well understood.

Purpose of the Study:

  • To investigate the relationship between TMB, objective response rate (ORR), overall survival (OS), and toxicity in patients receiving ICI therapy.
  • To determine if TMB can predict toxicity associated with ICI treatment across various cancer types.

Main Methods:

  • Systematic review and meta-analysis of 117 clinical trials involving 12,450 patients treated with anti-PD(L)1, anti-CTLA-4, or combination ICIs.
  • Meta-regression analysis using tumor-level TMB data to assess associations with ORR, OS, and grade 3/4 toxicity.

Main Results:

  • TMB was significantly associated with ORR for all ICI types (P < 0.0001).
  • No significant association was found between TMB and toxicity across treatment groups.
  • In high TMB tumors (≥10 mut/megabase), combination ICI therapy showed a 21.13% improvement in ORR compared to PD(L)1 monotherapy, with a 25.41% increase in grade 3/4 toxicity.

Conclusions:

  • A positive association exists between TMB and clinical response to various ICIs.
  • TMB is not associated with ICI-related toxicity, suggesting a favorable risk/benefit profile for higher TMB tumors.

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