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The uneasy coexistence of predators and pathogens
Andreas Eilersen1, Kim Sneppen2
1Niels Bohr Institute, University of Copenhagen, Blegdamsvej 17, 2100, København Ø, Denmark. andreaseilersen@nbi.ku.dk.
The European Physical Journal. E, Soft Matter
|July 4, 2020
Summary
Pathogens can drive predator extinction, especially for specialists. Prey can use disease as a defense, and generalist predators are more likely to survive epidemics impacting prey populations.
Area of Science:
- Ecology
- Epidemiology
- Mathematical Biology
Background:
- Predation and disease are key ecological factors.
- Multi-host pathogens are common, but their interaction with predation is understudied.
Purpose of the Study:
- To analyze a predator-prey model incorporating disease in both populations.
- To determine conditions leading to extinction events using allometric scaling.
Main Methods:
- Developed a mathematical model of predator-prey dynamics with disease.
- Used allometric mass scaling to estimate parameter values.
- Focused on extinction thresholds rather than linear stability.
Main Results:
- Specialist predators frequently go extinct when prey are diseased.
- Predators survive if they have an alternative, immune prey species.
- Coexistence of predator and disease is not possible in a single-prey model.
Conclusions:
- Prey can weaponize pathogens against predators.
- Generalist predators have a survival advantage during epidemics.
- Disease dynamics significantly influence predator-prey stability and survival.
Keywords:
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