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Guidance on Uncertainty Analysis in Scientific Assessments
EFSA Journal. European Food Safety Authority
|July 7, 2020
Summary
This guidance provides a framework for uncertainty analysis in scientific assessments. It helps identify and evaluate limitations in knowledge to ensure reliable conclusions for decision-making.
Area of Science:
- Risk assessment
- Scientific methodology
- Evidence-based decision-making
Background:
- Uncertainty analysis is crucial for all scientific assessments.
- Reliable conclusions are necessary for informed decision-making.
- Current practices for uncertainty analysis vary widely.
Purpose of the Study:
- To provide concise guidance on uncertainty analysis.
- To help identify appropriate uncertainty analysis options for each assessment.
- To guide the application of these methods.
Main Methods:
- The guidance outlines how to identify and apply uncertainty analysis.
- It is supported by a separate opinion detailing concepts and methods.
- Focus is on practical application within scientific assessments.
Main Results:
- A structured approach to uncertainty analysis is presented.
- The guidance clarifies how to tailor uncertainty analysis to specific contexts.
- Methods for reporting uncertainty are addressed.
Conclusions:
- Effective uncertainty analysis enhances the reliability of scientific conclusions.
- This guidance supports consistent and appropriate application of uncertainty analysis.
- Informed decision-making relies on robust evaluation of scientific uncertainties.
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