Burden of pneumococcal disease: 8-year retrospective analysis from a single centre in Hong Kong

Streptococcus pneumoniae is a common pathogen involved in community-acquired pneumonia. Invasive pneumococcal disease is often associated with higher co-morbidity rates, but mortality-related findings have been inconclusive. This study investigated predictors of 30-day mortality and invasive pneumococcal disease.

This retrospective analysis included adults with pneumococcal disease who were admitted to Pamela Youde Nethersole Eastern Hospital from 1 January 2011 to 31 December 2018. Demographics, microbiological characteristics, and outcomes were compared between 30-day survivors and non-survivors, and between patients with invasive disease and those with non-invasive disease. Intensive care unit (ICU) subgroup analysis was performed. The primary outcome was 30-day all-cause mortality; secondary outcomes were ICU and hospital mortalities, and ICU and hospital lengths of stay.

In total, 792 patients had pneumococcal disease; 701 survived and 91 (11.5%) died within 30 days. Notably, 106 (13.4%) patients had invasive pneumococcal disease and 170 (21.5%) patients received intensive care. Vasopressor use (odds ratio [OR]=4.96, P<0.001), chronic kidney disease (OR=3.62, P<0.001), positive urinary antigen test results (OR=2.57, P=0.001), and advanced age (OR=2.19, P=0.010) were independent predictors for 30-day mortality by logistic regression analysis. Among critically ill patients, chronic kidney disease (OR=4.64, P<0.001), higher APACHE IV score (OR=3.73, P=0.016), and positive urinary antigen test results (OR=2.94, P=0.008) were predictors for 30-day mortality. Logistic regression analysis revealed that chronic kidney disease (OR=3.10, P<0.001) was a risk factor for invasive pneumococcal disease.

Advanced age, vasopressor use, chronic kidney disease, and positive urinary antigen test results were independent predictors for 30-day mortality in patients with pneumococcal disease.