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Competing-Risk Nomogram for Predicting Cancer-Specific Survival in Multiple Primary Colorectal Cancer Patients after Surgery
Published on: September 27, 2024
Long-term survival following elective colon cancer surgery in the aged. A population-based cohort study
S Niemeläinen1, H Huhtala2, A Ehrlich3
1Department of Gastroenterology and Alimentary Tract Surgery, Tampere University Hospital, Tampere, Finland.
Aim:
The number of colorectal cancer patients increases with age. Long-term data support personalized management due to heterogeneity within the older population. This registry- and population-based study aimed to analyse long-term survival, and causes of death, after elective colon cancer surgery in the aged, focusing on patients who survived more than 3 months postoperatively.
Methods:
The data included patients ≥ 80 years who had elective surgery for Stage I-III colon cancer in four Finnish centres. The prospectively collected data included comorbidities, functional status, postoperative outcomes and long-term survival. Univariate and multivariate Cox regression analysis were conducted to determine factors associated with long-term survival.
Results:
A total of 386 surgical patients were included, of whom 357 survived over 3 months. Survival rates for all patients at 1, 3 and 5 years were 85%, 66% and 55%, compared to 92%, 71% and 59% for patients alive 3 months postoperatively, respectively. Higher age, American Society of Anesthesiologists (ASA) score ≥ 4, Charlson Comorbidity Index ≥ 6, tumour Stage III, open compared to laparoscopic surgery and severe postoperative complications were independently associated with reduced overall survival. Higher age (hazard ratio 1.97, 1.14-3.40), diabetes (1.56, 1.07-2.27), ASA score ≥ 4 (3.27, 1.53-6.99) and tumour Stage III (2.04, 1.48-2.81) were the patient-related variables affecting survival amongst those surviving more than 3 months postoperatively. Median survival time for patients given adjuvant chemotherapy was 5.4 years, compared to 3.3 years for patients not given postoperative treatment.
Conclusions:
Fit aged colon cancer patients can achieve good long-term outcomes and survival with radical, minimally invasive surgical treatment, even with additional chemotherapy.
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