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Long-term blood pressure variability, incidence of hypertension and changes in renal function in type 2 diabetes
Francesca Viazzi1, Elisa Russo1, Antonio Mirijello2
1University of Genoa and IRCCS Ospedale Policlinico San Martino, Genova.
Insights
High blood pressure variability predicts new hypertension and worsening kidney function in type 2 diabetes patients. This visit-to-visit systolic blood pressure variability is a key risk factor for developing hypertension and albuminuria.
Area of Science:
- Cardiology
- Nephrology
- Endocrinology
Background:
- Long-term visit-to-visit systolic blood pressure variability (VVV) is a known predictor of cardiovascular and renal events in hypertensive patients.
- The predictive role of VVV for the development of hypertension and chronic kidney disease remains unclear.
Purpose of the Study:
- To investigate the association between VVV and the incidence of hypertension.
- To assess the impact of VVV on renal function changes in patients with type 2 diabetes and normal blood pressure.
Main Methods:
- Analysis of clinical records from 8998 patients with type 2 diabetes, normal blood pressure, and normal estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR).
- VVV was calculated as the standard deviation of mean systolic blood pressure (SBP) over at least four visits within two consecutive years.
- Hypertension and renal function changes (worsening albuminuria, eGFR decrease) were defined based on established clinical criteria.
Main Results:
- An increase of 5 mmHg in VVV was independently associated with a 19% increased risk of developing hypertension and a 5% increased risk of worsening albuminuria.
- Patients in the highest quartile of VVV (>12.8 mmHg) had a 50% higher risk of developing hypertension and a 20% higher risk of worsening albuminuria compared to those in the lowest quartile (<6.9 mmHg).
- No significant association was found between VVV and a decrease in eGFR.
Conclusions:
- Elevated visit-to-visit systolic blood pressure variability is an independent predictor of incident hypertension in individuals with type 2 diabetes and normal baseline blood pressure.
- Increased VVV is also associated with an increased risk of worsening albuminuria, indicating a potential role in early kidney damage progression.
Objectives:
Long-term visit-to-visit SBP variability (VVV) predicts cerebro-cardiovascular and renal events in patients with hypertension. Whether VVV predicts hypertension and/or chronic kidney disease is currently unknown. We assessed the role of VVV on the development of hypertension and changes in renal function in patients with type 2 diabetes and normal blood pressure (NBP) in a real-life clinical setting.
Methods:
Clinical records from 8998 patients with type 2 diabetes, NBP, and normal estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) were analyzed. VVV was measured by SD of the mean SBP recorded in at least four visits during 2 consecutive years before follow-up. Hypertension was defined as SBP at least 140 mmHg and DBP at least 90 mmHg or the presence of antihypertensive treatment. Renal function was defined as worsening of albuminuria status and/or a reduction in eGFR at least 30% from baseline.
Results:
After a mean follow-up time of 3.5 ± 2.8 years, 3795 patients developed hypertension (12.1 per 100 person-years). An increase of 5 mmHg VVV was associated with a 19% (P < 0.0001) and a 5% (P = 0.008) independent increased risk of developing hypertension and worsening of albuminuria, respectively. We found no association between VVV and eGFR decrease from baseline. Patients with VVV in the upper quartile (>12.8 mmHg) showed a 50% increased risk of developing hypertension (P < 0.0001) and an almost 20% increased risk of worsening albuminuria (P = 0.004) as compared with those in the lower one (<6.9 mmHg).
Conclusion:
Increased VVV independently predicts incident hypertension and albuminuria worsening in type 2 diabetes and NBP.
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