Our varying ability to predict the outcomes of psychotherapy

The general inability to make clinical predictions of psychotherapeutic change, which has been suggested by previous research, is questioned in this study. It is argued and empirically demonstrated in a sample of 8 experienced psychologists and 8 psychology students that there are reliable individual differences in the ability to make accurate predictions. Above-chance accuracy is significantly frequent in the former group of judges (and nonexistent in the latter group), and performance also appears to be influenced by the conditions of the prediction task.