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Data-Driven Acid Fracture Conductivity Correlations Honoring Different Mineralogy and Etching Patterns.

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Summary

Machine learning models were developed to predict acid fracture conductivity in carbonate rocks, improving well productivity estimates. These models account for rock type and etching patterns, outperforming universal correlations.

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Area of Science:

  • Petroleum Engineering
  • Geoscience
  • Artificial Intelligence

Background:

  • Acid fracturing is key for enhancing conductivity in tight carbonate formations.
  • Accurate fracture conductivity estimation is vital for predicting well productivity.
  • Existing models for acid fracture conductivity often lack specificity and introduce significant errors.

Purpose of the Study:

  • To develop accurate conductivity correlations for acid-fractured carbonate rocks using machine learning.
  • To create models that consider specific rock types and etching patterns.
  • To improve the prediction of fractured well productivity.

Main Methods:

  • Applied machine learning to 560 experimental acid fracture data points.
  • Utilized data preprocessing, regularization, and feature selection.
  • Developed a machine learning classifier for etching pattern prediction.
  • Generated multivariate linear regression, ridge regression, and artificial neural network models.

Main Results:

  • Achieved 93% accuracy in predicting etching patterns.
  • Developed conductivity correlations with high correlation coefficients.
  • Demonstrated superior performance compared to universal correlation models.
  • Validated model performance using metrics like precision, accuracy, MSE, recall, and cross-validation.

Conclusions:

  • Machine learning models effectively predict acid fracture conductivity in diverse carbonate rocks.
  • Accounting for rock type and etching patterns enhances prediction accuracy.
  • The developed models offer a more reliable approach to estimating fractured well productivity.