Role of 18F-FDG PET-derived parameters for predicting complete response to chemoradiotherapy in squamous cell anal...

We aimed to evaluate the accuracy of metabolic parameters, calculated on pretreatment positron emission computed tomography (PET/CT) with fluorodeoxyglucose (F-FDG), for predicting complete response to chemoradiotherapy (CRT) of patients affected by squamous cell anal carcinoma (SCAC).

Clinical records of 20 patients affected by SCAC and treated with CRT were retrospectively evaluated. F-FDG PET/CT was performed at time 0 (baseline) and time 1 (12 weeks after CRT). The following parameters were extracted from PET at time 0: standardized uptake values (SUVmax and SUVmean), metabolic tumor volume (MTV) and total lesion glycolysis (TLG). Response was assessed according to PET response criteria in solid tumors and classified as complete metabolic response (CMR), partial metabolic response (PMR) and progressive metabolic disease (PMD). Receiver operating characteristic analysis was performed to analyze the predictive value of each PET-derived parameter on CMR.

Sixteen patients were finally enrolled. All presented increased F-FDG uptake in the primary tumor and 11 (68.7%) also showed metastatic lymph nodes. At PET/CT performed at time 1, 11 subjects (68.7%) presented CMR, three (18.7%) had PMR and the remaining two (12.5%) showed PMD (i.e. hepatic metastases). Among baseline PET-derived parameters, both MTV and TLG efficiently predicted response to CRT with an area under the curve of 0.9 (cutoff 62.3 cm, sensitivity 80%, specificity 100%, P = <0.0001) and 0.87 (cutoff 654.1 g, sensitivity 80%, specificity 100%, P = 0.004), respectively.

Among PET-derived parameters, both MTV and TLG presented a high predictive value on subjects' outcome after CRT.