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CHA2DS2-VASc Score as a Predictor for Left Atrial Thrombus or Spontaneous Echo Contrast in Patients with Nonvalvular
Ping Sun1, Zhi Hao Guo1, Hong Bin Zhang1
1Vasculocardiology Deparment, Cangzhou Central Hospital, No. 16 Xinhua Road, Yunhe Qu, Cangzhou 061000, China.
Insights
The CHA₂DS₂-VASc score predicts left atrial thrombus (LAT) and spontaneous echo contrast (LASEC) in nonvalvular atrial fibrillation (NVAF) patients. This meta-analysis confirms the score
Area of Science:
- Cardiology
- Medical Diagnostics
- Clinical Research
Background:
- Nonvalvular atrial fibrillation (NVAF) increases stroke risk.
- Left atrial thrombus (LAT) and spontaneous echo contrast (LASEC) are key indicators of thromboembolic events in NVAF patients.
- Predictive tools for LAT/LASEC are crucial for risk stratification in NVAF.
Purpose of the Study:
- To evaluate the predictive capability of the CHA₂DS₂-VASc score for the presence of LAT or LASEC in patients with NVAF.
- To synthesize existing evidence through a comprehensive meta-analysis.
Main Methods:
- Systematic literature search across major databases (PubMed, Embase, Web of Science, etc.) up to January 2020.
- Inclusion of 15 studies encompassing 6223 NVAF patients.
- Pooled odds ratios (ORs) calculated using random-effects models, with heterogeneity, subgroup, publication bias, and sensitivity analyses performed.
Main Results:
- A high CHA₂DS₂-VASc score was significantly associated with both LAT/LASEC (pooled OR = 1.59) and LAT alone (pooled OR = 1.83).
- High heterogeneity was observed (I² > 75%), with subgroup analysis suggesting sample size as a potential source.
- Publication bias was detected, but sensitivity analyses confirmed the robustness of the pooled findings.
Conclusions:
- The CHA₂DS₂-VASc score demonstrates a significant association with LAT and LASEC in NVAF patients.
- While the score is a valuable predictor, further research is recommended to refine its predictive accuracy and address heterogeneity.
Objective:
This meta-analysis aimed at exploring the predictive value of CHA2DS2-VASc score for the left atrial thrombus (LAT) or left atrial spontaneous echo contrast (LASEC) in patients with nonvalvular atrial fibrillation (NVAF).
Methods:
PubMed, Embase, Web of Science, ScienceDirect, Cochrane Library, and Chinese core journals of the CNKI and Wanfang databases were searched to identify all the relevant papers that were published up to January 2020. The data were extracted for pooled odds ratios (ORs) with 95% confidence intervals (CIs), heterogeneity, subgroup, publication bias, and sensitivity analysis.
Results:
Overall, 15 studies containing 6223 patients with NVAF were enrolled. All studies were evaluated for LAT, and 12 studies were evaluated for LASEC. The pooled analysis using a random-effects model showed that a high CHA2DS2-VASc score was related with LAT/LASEC (pooled OR = 1.59, 95% CI: 1.35-1.88, P < 0.001) with high heterogeneity (I 2 = 76.9%, P < 0.001) and LAT (pooled OR = 1.83, 95% CI: 1.44-2.33, P < 0.001) with high heterogeneity (I 2 = 79.4%, P < 0.001). The subgroup analysis demonstrated that the sample size may be the main source of heterogeneity. Although the Begg's funnel plot based on 15 studies for LAT/LASEC (P = 0.029) and 12 studies for LAT (P = 0.046) indicated the presence of publication bias among the included studies, the trim-and-fill method verified the stability of the pooled outcomes. In addition, sensitivity analysis indicated that all effects were stable.
Conclusion:
The results of this meta-analysis showed that the CHA2DS2-VASc score is related with LAT and LASEC in patients with NVAF. However, more studies are warranted to address this issue.
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