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Updated: Dec 12, 2025

Production of a SARS-CoV-2 Virus-Like-Particle System to Investigate Viral Life Cycles In Vitro
Published on: June 6, 2025
Modeling the viral dynamics of SARS-CoV-2 infection
Sunpeng Wang1, Yang Pan2, Quanyi Wang3
1Department of Biology, New York University, New York, NY 10012, United States of America.
Insights
Mathematical models reveal distinct stages of severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) infection dynamics. The study identifies potential therapeutic interventions for coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) to reduce viral load and recovery time.
Area of Science:
- Virology
- Immunology
- Mathematical Biology
Background:
- Coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19), caused by SARS-CoV-2, is a global pandemic.
- Quantitative investigation of SARS-CoV-2 infection dynamics is lacking.
Purpose of the Study:
- To quantitatively investigate the viral dynamics of SARS-CoV-2 infection.
- To examine the interactions between the virus, host cells, and immune responses.
- To evaluate potential therapeutic interventions for COVID-19.
Main Methods:
- Development and application of mathematical models.
- Fitting models to patient and non-human primate SARS-CoV-2 infection data.
- Numerical simulations to analyze viral dynamics and treatment effects.
Main Results:
- SARS-CoV-2 infection exhibits distinct stages: rapid viral load increase, a plateau phase potentially involving lymphocytes, and a decline due to adaptive immunity.
- Late or slow seroconversion is linked to viral rebound and prolonged persistence.
- Simulations indicate anti-inflammatory treatments or antiviral drugs with interferon can shorten the plateau phase and accelerate recovery.
Conclusions:
- Mathematical modeling provides insights into SARS-CoV-2 infection pathogenesis and progression.
- Understanding viral dynamics can inform the development of effective COVID-19 treatment strategies.
- Targeted interventions may mitigate disease severity and duration.
Abstract:
Coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19), an infectious disease caused by the infection of severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2), is spreading and causing the global coronavirus pandemic. The viral dynamics of SARS-CoV-2 infection have not been quantitatively investigated. In this paper, we use mathematical models to study the pathogenic features of SARS-CoV-2 infection by examining the interaction between the virus, cells and immune responses. Models are fit to the data of SARS-CoV-2 infection in patients and non-human primates. Data fitting and numerical simulation show that viral dynamics of SARS-CoV-2 infection have a few distinct stages. In the initial stage, viral load increases rapidly and reaches the peak, followed by a plateau phase possibly generated by lymphocytes as a secondary target of infection. In the last stage, viral load declines due to the emergence of adaptive immune responses. When the initiation of seroconversion is late or slow, the model predicts viral rebound and prolonged viral persistence, consistent with the observation in non-human primates. Using the model we also evaluate the effect of several potential therapeutic interventions for SARS-CoV-2 infection. Model simulation shows that anti-inflammatory treatments or antiviral drugs combined with interferon are effective in reducing the duration of the viral plateau phase and diminishing the time to recovery. These results provide insights for understanding the infection dynamics and might help develop treatment strategies against COVID-19.
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