Identifying a novel 5-gene signature predicting clinical outcomes in acute myeloid leukemia

Acute myeloid leukemia (AML) is the most common type of acute leukemia and biologically heterogeneous diseases with poor prognosis. Thus, we aimed to identify prognostic markers to effectively predict the prognosis of AML patients and eventually guide treatment.

Prognosis-associated genes were determined by Kaplan-Meier and multivariate analyses using the expression and clinical data of 173 AML patients from The Cancer Genome Atlas database and validated in an independent Oregon Health and Science University dataset. A prognostic risk score was computed based on a linear combination of 5-gene expression levels using the regression coefficients derived from the multivariate logistic regression model. The classification of AML was established by unsupervised hierarchical clustering of CALCRL, DOCK1, PLA2G4A, FCHO2 and LRCH4 expression levels.

High FCHO2 and LRCH4 expression was related to decreased mortality. While high CALCRL, DOCK1, PLA2G4A expression was associated with increased mortality. The risk score was predictive of increased mortality rate in AML patients. Hierarchical clustering analysis of the five genes discovered three clusters of AML patients. The cluster1 AML patients were associated with lower cytogenetics risk than cluster2 or 3 patients, and better prognosis than cluster3 patients (P values < 0.05 for all cases, fisher exact test or log-rank test).

The gene panel comprising CALCRL, DOCK1, PLA2G4A, FCHO2 and LRCH4 as well as the risk score may offer novel prognostic biomarkers and classification of AML patients to significantly improve outcome prediction.