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Psychological mechanisms of loss aversion: A drift-diffusion decomposition
Wenjia Joyce Zhao1, Lukasz Walasek2, Sudeep Bhatia1
1University of Pennsylvania, United States.
Loss aversion, the tendency to avoid potential losses, stems from multiple psychological factors, not just prospect theory. A bias favoring rejection before evaluating gambles significantly contributes to this behavior.
Area of Science:
- Cognitive Psychology
- Decision Science
- Behavioral Economics
Background:
- Decision makers frequently reject mixed gambles with equal gain and loss probabilities, a phenomenon known as loss aversion.
- Prospect theory explains loss aversion by positing higher utility weights for losses than gains.
- Alternative psychological mechanisms for loss aversion remain underexplored.
Purpose of the Study:
- To investigate alternative psychological mechanisms, specifically a fixed utility bias and a pre-valuation bias, that may explain loss aversion.
- To conceptually distinguish, formally define, and empirically measure these mechanisms using a drift diffusion model.
Main Methods:
- Utilized a drift diffusion model to analyze decision-making processes.
- Conducted two preregistered experiments to empirically test the proposed mechanisms.
- Measured the contribution of the pre-valuation bias to model fits and response time patterns.
Main Results:
- The pre-valuation bias significantly contributed to model fits, outperforming other mechanisms.
- This bias accurately predicted response time patterns and reflected prior expectations of gamble desirability.
- The pre-valuation bias could be manipulated independently of the gamble valuation process.
Conclusions:
- Loss aversion arises from multiple psychological mechanisms, with the pre-valuation bias being a fundamental determinant.
- Findings challenge the sole reliance on prospect theory for explaining loss aversion.
- Results have significant implications for modeling risky choice behavior and its neurobiological correlates.
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