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Published on: November 10, 2023
Risk factors of severe cases with COVID-19: a meta-analysis
Mingchun Ou1, Jieyun Zhu2, Pan Ji2
1Department of Pharmacy, People's Hospital of Baise, Baise533000, People's Republic China.
Insights
Older age, low platelet counts, and elevated inflammatory markers like C-reactive protein (CRP) are key risk factors for severe coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19). These indicators can help predict disease progression.
Area of Science:
- Infectious Diseases
- Clinical Medicine
- Epidemiology
Background:
- Coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) poses a significant global health threat.
- Identifying risk factors for severe disease is crucial for patient management and outcomes.
Purpose of the Study:
- To systematically analyze risk factors associated with severe coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19).
- To identify potential early indicators for predicting disease progression in COVID-19 patients.
Main Methods:
- A systematic electronic search was conducted across eight databases for studies on severe or critically ill COVID-19 patients.
- Meta-analysis of 40 studies involving 5872 COVID-19 patients was performed.
- Key clinical and laboratory parameters were compared between severe and non-severe cases, and between non-survivors and survivors.
Main Results:
- Severe COVID-19 patients were older and exhibited lower platelet and lymphocyte counts.
- Elevated levels of C-reactive protein (CRP), lactate dehydrogenase (LDH), white blood cell count (WBC), procalcitonin (PCT), D-dimer, alanine aminotransferase (ALT), aspartate aminotransferase (AST), and creatinine (Cr) were observed in severe cases.
- Patients who died had higher WBC, D-dimer, ALT, AST, and Cr compared to survivors, with similar platelet counts and LDH levels.
Conclusions:
- Older age, lymphopenia, and decreased platelet counts are associated with COVID-19 severity.
- Elevated inflammatory markers (CRP, LDH, WBC, PCT) and organ-specific indicators (ALT, AST, Cr, D-dimer) are linked to severe COVID-19.
- These factors can serve as early warning signs for disease severity and progression.
Abstract:
Our study aimed to systematically analyse the risk factors of coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) patients with severe disease. An electronic search in eight databases to identify studies describing severe or critically ill COVID-19 patients from 1 January 2020 to 3 April 2020. In the end, we meta-analysed 40 studies involving 5872 COVID-19 patients. The average age was higher in severe COVID-19 patients (weighted mean difference; WMD = 10.69, 95%CI 7.83-13.54). Patients with severe disease showed significantly lower platelet count (WMD = -18.63, 95%CI -30.86 to -6.40) and lymphocyte count (WMD = -0.35, 95%CI -0.41 to -0.30) but higher C-reactive protein (CRP; WMD = 42.7, 95%CI 31.12-54.28), lactate dehydrogenase (LDH; WMD = 137.4, 95%CI 105.5-169.3), white blood cell count(WBC), procalcitonin(PCT), D-dimer, alanine aminotransferase (ALT), aspartate aminotransferase (AST) and creatinine(Cr). Similarly, patients who died showed significantly higher WBC, D-dimer, ALT, AST and Cr but similar platelet count and LDH as patients who survived. These results indicate that older age, low platelet count, lymphopenia, elevated levels of LDH, ALT, AST, PCT, Cr and D-dimer are associated with severity of COVID-19 and thus could be used as early identification or even prediction of disease progression.
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