Risk factors of severe cases with COVID-19: a meta-analysis

Mingchun Ou1, Jieyun Zhu2, Pan Ji2

  • 1Department of Pharmacy, People's Hospital of Baise, Baise533000, People's Republic China.

Insights

Older age, low platelet counts, and elevated inflammatory markers like C-reactive protein (CRP) are key risk factors for severe coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19). These indicators can help predict disease progression.

Area of Science:

  • Infectious Diseases
  • Clinical Medicine
  • Epidemiology

Background:

  • Coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) poses a significant global health threat.
  • Identifying risk factors for severe disease is crucial for patient management and outcomes.

Purpose of the Study:

  • To systematically analyze risk factors associated with severe coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19).
  • To identify potential early indicators for predicting disease progression in COVID-19 patients.

Main Methods:

  • A systematic electronic search was conducted across eight databases for studies on severe or critically ill COVID-19 patients.
  • Meta-analysis of 40 studies involving 5872 COVID-19 patients was performed.
  • Key clinical and laboratory parameters were compared between severe and non-severe cases, and between non-survivors and survivors.

Main Results:

  • Severe COVID-19 patients were older and exhibited lower platelet and lymphocyte counts.
  • Elevated levels of C-reactive protein (CRP), lactate dehydrogenase (LDH), white blood cell count (WBC), procalcitonin (PCT), D-dimer, alanine aminotransferase (ALT), aspartate aminotransferase (AST), and creatinine (Cr) were observed in severe cases.
  • Patients who died had higher WBC, D-dimer, ALT, AST, and Cr compared to survivors, with similar platelet counts and LDH levels.

Conclusions:

  • Older age, lymphopenia, and decreased platelet counts are associated with COVID-19 severity.
  • Elevated inflammatory markers (CRP, LDH, WBC, PCT) and organ-specific indicators (ALT, AST, Cr, D-dimer) are linked to severe COVID-19.
  • These factors can serve as early warning signs for disease severity and progression.

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