Tumor copy-number alterations predict response to immune-checkpoint-blockade in gastrointestinal cancer

Zhihao Lu1, Huan Chen2, Shuang Li1

  • 1Department of Gastrointestinal Oncology, Key laboratory of Carcinogenesis and Translational Research (Ministry of Education), Peking University Cancer Hospital & Institute, Beijing, China.

Abstract

Insights

Copy number alterations (CNAs) and tumor mutational burden (TMB) can predict durable clinical benefit (DCB) from immune-checkpoint blockade (ICB) in gastrointestinal (GI) cancers. A combined biomarker of CNA burden and TMB offers improved patient stratification for ICB therapy.

Area of Science:

  • Oncology
  • Genomics
  • Immunotherapy

Background:

  • Effective predictive biomarkers for immune-checkpoint blockade (ICB) are lacking in gastrointestinal (GI) cancers.
  • Despite advancements, patient selection for ICB therapy remains a challenge in GI oncology.

Purpose of the Study:

  • To identify reliable predictive biomarkers for durable clinical benefit (DCB) in metastatic GI cancer patients treated with ICB.
  • To evaluate the predictive value of copy number alterations (CNAs) and tumor mutational burden (TMB) in this patient population.

Main Methods:

  • Genomic profiling (TMB, CNAs) and RNA immune oncology panel sequencing were performed on 93 metastatic GI patients.
  • Patients were divided into discovery (n=44) and validation (n=29) cohorts, with an additional validation cohort of 20 gastric cancer (GC) patients.
  • Microsatellite instability (MSI) and program death ligand 1 (PD-L1) expression were also assessed.

Main Results:

  • A lower burden of CNAs was associated with improved clinical benefit and overall survival (OS) in GI cancer patients treated with ICB.
  • Higher TMB also correlated with efficacy.
  • A combined biomarker of CNA burden and TMB demonstrated superior ability to stratify patients for DCB.

Conclusions:

  • The burden of CNAs shows significant predictive value for ICB response in GI cancers, potentially outperforming PD-L1, MSI, and TMB alone.
  • A joint biomarker incorporating CNA burden and TMB can enhance patient stratification for ICB therapy, guiding treatment decisions.

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